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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199511-199601
 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip (all stn) 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season
cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
4
6
8
4
6
18
8
12
13
33
16
18
23
57

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
2
4
6
8
4
6
18
8
12
13
33
16
18
23
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
7
11
14
7
11
32
14
21
23
58
28
32
40
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
4
7
11
14
7
11
32
14
21
23
58
28
32
40
100

hitrate: 0.298 hitrate: 0.298
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.38 1.00 1.43		 bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.38 1.00 1.43
Heidke skill score: -0.053 Heidke skill score: -0.053
true Heidke skill score: -0.101 true Heidke skill score: -0.101
Kuipers skill score: -0.053 Kuipers skill score: -0.053
true Kuipers skill score: -0.098 true Kuipers skill score: -0.098
threat score:
0.000 0.125 0.302		 threat score:
0.000 0.125 0.302
equitable threat score:
-0.083 -0.064 -0.011		 equitable threat score:
-0.083 -0.064 -0.011
probability of detection:
0.000 0.222 0.565		 probability of detection:
0.000 0.222 0.565
false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.778 0.606		 false alarm rate (FAR):
1.000 0.778 0.606
samples: 57 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 100.00 %coverage: 100.00