CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199607-199609

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip (all stn) 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
11
8
5
24
1
3
4
8
8
9
8
25
20
20
17
57

contingency table
fcst
obs
11
8
5
24
1
3
4
8
8
9
8
25
20
20
17
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
19
14
9
42
2
5
7
14
14
16
14
44
35
35
30
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
19
14
9
42
2
5
7
14
14
16
14
44
35
35
30
100

hitrate: 0.386 hitrate: 0.386
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.20 0.40 1.47
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.20 0.40 1.47
Heidke skill score: 0.079 Heidke skill score: 0.079
true Heidke skill score: 0.087 true Heidke skill score: 0.087
Kuipers skill score: 0.079 Kuipers skill score: 0.079
true Kuipers skill score: 0.087 true Kuipers skill score: 0.087
threat score:
0.333 0.120 0.235
threat score:
0.333 0.120 0.235
equitable threat score:
0.105 0.009 0.020
equitable threat score:
0.105 0.009 0.020
probability of detection:
0.550 0.150 0.471
probability of detection:
0.550 0.150 0.471
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.542 0.625 0.680
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.542 0.625 0.680
samples: 57 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 100.00 %coverage: 100.00