CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199608-199610

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip (all stn) 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
5
7
16
0
2
1
3
7
14
17
38
11
21
25
57

contingency table
fcst
obs
4
5
7
16
0
2
1
3
7
14
17
38
11
21
25
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
7
9
12
28
0
4
2
5
12
25
30
67
19
37
44
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
7
9
12
28
0
4
2
5
12
25
30
67
19
37
44
100

hitrate: 0.404 hitrate: 0.404
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.45 0.14 1.52
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.45 0.14 1.52
Heidke skill score: 0.105 Heidke skill score: 0.105
true Heidke skill score: 0.059 true Heidke skill score: 0.059
Kuipers skill score: 0.105 Kuipers skill score: 0.105
true Kuipers skill score: 0.059 true Kuipers skill score: 0.059
threat score:
0.174 0.091 0.370
threat score:
0.174 0.091 0.370
equitable threat score:
0.046 0.043 0.011
equitable threat score:
0.046 0.043 0.011
probability of detection:
0.364 0.095 0.680
probability of detection:
0.364 0.095 0.680
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.333 0.553
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.750 0.333 0.553
samples: 57 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 100.00 %coverage: 100.00