CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199610-199612

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip (all stn) 1.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
6
10
26
42
0
2
1
3
2
3
7
12
8
15
34
57

contingency table
fcst
obs
6
10
26
42
0
2
1
3
2
3
7
12
8
15
34
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
11
18
46
74
0
4
2
5
4
5
12
21
14
26
60
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
11
18
46
74
0
4
2
5
4
5
12
21
14
26
60
100

hitrate: 0.263 hitrate: 0.263
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
5.25 0.20 0.35
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
5.25 0.20 0.35
Heidke skill score: -0.105 Heidke skill score: -0.105
true Heidke skill score: 0.027 true Heidke skill score: 0.027
Kuipers skill score: -0.105 Kuipers skill score: -0.105
true Kuipers skill score: 0.037 true Kuipers skill score: 0.037
threat score:
0.136 0.125 0.179
threat score:
0.136 0.125 0.179
equitable threat score:
0.003 0.080 -0.005
equitable threat score:
0.003 0.080 -0.005
probability of detection:
0.750 0.133 0.206
probability of detection:
0.750 0.133 0.206
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.857 0.333 0.417
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.857 0.333 0.417
samples: 57 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 100.00 %coverage: 100.00