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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199907-199909

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip (all stn) 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
22
19
22
63
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
22
19
22
63

contingency table
fcst
obs
22
19
22
63
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
22
19
22
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
35
30
35
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
35
30
35
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
35
30
35
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
35
30
35
100

hitrate: 0.349 hitrate: 0.349
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.86 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
2.86 0.00 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.024 Heidke skill score: 0.024
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: 0.024 Kuipers skill score: 0.024
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.349 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.349 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.651 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.651 0.000 0.000
samples: 63 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 100.00 %coverage: 100.00