CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 199910-199912

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip (all stn) 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
48
11
4
63
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
48
11
4
63

contingency table
fcst
obs
48
11
4
63
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
48
11
4
63

% contingency table
fcst
obs
76
17
6
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
76
17
6
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
76
17
6
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
76
17
6
100

hitrate: 0.762 hitrate: 0.762
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.31 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.31 0.00 0.00
Heidke skill score: 0.643 Heidke skill score: 0.643
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: 0.643 Kuipers skill score: 0.643
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.762 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.762 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.238 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.238 0.000 0.000
samples: 63 out of 63 samples: 63 out of 63
%coverage: 100.00 %coverage: 100.00