CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200105-200107

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Precip (all stn) 0.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
10
14
11
35
0
1
0
1
10
7
11
28
20
22
22
64

contingency table
fcst
obs
10
14
11
35
0
1
0
1
10
7
11
28
20
22
22
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
16
22
17
55
0
2
0
2
16
11
17
44
31
34
34
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
16
22
17
55
0
2
0
2
16
11
17
44
31
34
34
100

hitrate: 0.344 hitrate: 0.344
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.75 0.05 1.27
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
1.75 0.05 1.27
Heidke skill score: 0.016 Heidke skill score: 0.016
true Heidke skill score: 0.025 true Heidke skill score: 0.025
Kuipers skill score: 0.016 Kuipers skill score: 0.016
true Kuipers skill score: 0.026 true Kuipers skill score: 0.026
threat score:
0.222 0.045 0.282
threat score:
0.222 0.045 0.282
equitable threat score:
-0.028 0.030 0.047
equitable threat score:
-0.028 0.030 0.047
probability of detection:
0.500 0.045 0.500
probability of detection:
0.500 0.045 0.500
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.714 0.000 0.607
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.714 0.000 0.607
samples: 64 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 100.00 %coverage: 100.00