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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199909-199911

 

Verification Type: categorical temperature
Tool/Product: seasonal Sea Fcst Mdl Temp (all stn) 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
14
47
64
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
14
47
64

contingency table
fcst
obs
3
14
47
64
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
14
47
64

% contingency table
fcst
obs
5
22
73
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
22
73
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
5
22
73
100
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
22
73
100

hitrate: 0.047 hitrate: 0.047
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
21.33 0.00 0.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
21.33 0.00 0.00
Heidke skill score: -0.430 Heidke skill score: -0.430
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.000
Kuipers skill score: -0.430 Kuipers skill score: -0.430
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: 0.000
threat score:
0.047 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.047 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
1.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.953 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.953 0.000 0.000
samples: 64 out of 64 samples: 64 out of 64
%coverage: 100.00 %coverage: 100.00