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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199512-199602

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Optimal Climate Normal Precip 5.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
7
1
0
8
7
1
0
8

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
14
10
25
49
7
1
0
8
21
11
25
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
88
13
0
100
88
13
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
25
18
44
86
12
2
0
14
37
19
44
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.175
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 4.45 0.32
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.237
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.067
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.237
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.082
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.200 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.013 -0.119
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.909 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.796 1.000
samples: 8 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 14.04 %coverage: 100.00