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CPC Verifications

Forecast 199703-199705

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Optimal Climate Normal Precip 8.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
2
2

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
21
21
13
55
0
0
2
2
21
21
15
57

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
100
0
0
100
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
37
23
96
0
0
4
4
37
37
26
100

hitrate: 1.000 hitrate: 0.404
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- -- 1.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.62 0.13
Heidke skill score: 1.000 Heidke skill score: 0.105
true Heidke skill score: nan true Heidke skill score: 0.061
Kuipers skill score: 1.000 Kuipers skill score: 0.105
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.059
threat score:
0.000 0.000 1.000
threat score:
0.000 0.382 0.133
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.021 0.102
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.133
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.618 0.000
samples: 2 out of 57 samples: 57 out of 57
%coverage: 3.51 %coverage: 100.00