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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200103-200105

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Optimal Climate Normal Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
19
31
16
66
0
1
0
1
19
32
16
67

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
100
0
100
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
28
46
24
99
0
1
0
1
28
48
24
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.463
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
-- 0.00 --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.06 0.06
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: 0.194
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.022
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: 0.194
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: -0.018
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.463 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.015 -0.014
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.969 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.530 1.000
samples: 1 out of 67 samples: 67 out of 67
%coverage: 1.49 %coverage: 100.00