CPC Banner
 

CPC Verifications

Forecast 200210-200212

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Optimal Climate Normal Precip 3.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
1
1
1
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
20
18
24
62
1
1
1
3
21
19
25
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
33
33
33
100
33
33
33
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
31
28
37
95
2
2
2
5
32
29
38
100

hitrate: 0.333 hitrate: 0.292
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 0.00 3.00
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 3.26 0.12
Heidke skill score: 0.000 Heidke skill score: -0.062
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: -0.006
Kuipers skill score: 0.000 Kuipers skill score: -0.062
true Kuipers skill score: 0.000 true Kuipers skill score: -0.006
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.333
threat score:
0.000 0.286 0.037
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 -0.003 -0.006
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 1.000
probability of detection:
0.000 0.947 0.040
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 0.667
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.710 0.667
samples: 3 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 4.62 %coverage: 100.00