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CPC Verifications

Forecast 200211-200301

 

Verification Type: categorical precipitation
Tool/Product: seasonal Optimal Climate Normal Precip 4.5 mo lead
Region: conus
Averaging Period: 1 season

cat 4 ignored
cat 4 used

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
3
3
0
0
3

contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
37
21
4
62
3
0
0
3
40
21
4
65

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
100
0
0
100
100
0
0
100

% contingency table
fcst
obs
0
0
0
0
57
32
6
95
5
0
0
5
62
32
6
100

hitrate: 0.000 hitrate: 0.323
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 -- --
bias ratio (>1 overfcst):
0.00 2.95 0.75
Heidke skill score: -0.500 Heidke skill score: -0.015
true Heidke skill score: 0.000 true Heidke skill score: 0.018
Kuipers skill score: -0.500 Kuipers skill score: -0.015
true Kuipers skill score: nan true Kuipers skill score: 0.024
threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
threat score:
0.000 0.339 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.000 0.000
equitable threat score:
0.000 0.023 -0.027
probability of detection:
0.000 0.000 0.000
probability of detection:
0.000 1.000 0.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.000 1.000
false alarm rate (FAR):
0.000 0.661 1.000
samples: 3 out of 65 samples: 65 out of 65
%coverage: 4.62 %coverage: 100.00