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Seasonal Forecast Initialized in Jun 2004

SFM FCST		CFS FCST
Jul 2004	4 Seasons	Jul 2004	4 Seasons
Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc
PRCP	PRCP	PRCP	PRCP
Z500	Z500	Z500	Z500
Z200	Z200	Z200	Z200
SFM with CA SST
Tsfc	PRCP	Z500	Z200
Diff	Diff	Diff	Diff
Fcst Expts with Init SM
JAS	ASO	SON	OND
Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc
PRCP	PRCP	PRCP	PRCP
Z500	z500	z500	z500
Z200	z200	z200	z200

Forecast for SW Asia
AC Scores		Forecast
Month	Season	Jul 2004	Season
Ts & P	Tsfc	Ts & P	Tsfc
	PRCP		PRCP

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Performance Evaluations Based on Cases of Jun IC's

SFM runs in T62
AC Scores		ENSO Composites
Jul	Season	JAS	ASO	SON	OND
Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc
PRCP	PRCP	PRCP	PRCP	PRCP	PRCP
Z500	Z500	Z500	Z500	Z500	Z500

CFS runs in T62
AC Scores		ENSO Composites
Jul	Season	JAS	ASO	SON	OND
Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc	Tsfc
PRCP	PRCP	PRCP	PRCP	PRCP	PRCP
Z500	Z500	Z500	Z500	Z500	Z500

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Feedback to : Jae-Kyung E. Schemm