REOF-based Teleconnection Analysis


This teleconnection analysis uses rotated EOF analysis of monthly 200-hPa geopotential height anomalies. The analysis period and climate base period are the same: 1979-2018. The analysis uses the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis from 20S-90N; for each three month season, between 8 and 10 patterns are rotated based on analysis of eigenvalues - namely, truncation is preferred between eigenvalues that are reasonably separated. Figures show the correlation between the principal component associated with each pattern and 200-hPa height, SST (from ERSSTv5), and 2-meter temperature (from GHCN+CAMS), all shaded at 0.1 intervals. Importantly, all data are detrended prior to analysis, and the covariance matrix is utilized (weighted by the cosine of latitude).


For lead/lag SST correlations, see here.


DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ
REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1 REOF 1
REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2 REOF 2
REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3 REOF 3
REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4 REOF 4
REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5 REOF 5
REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6 REOF 6
REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7 REOF 7
REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8 REOF 8
REOF 9 REOF 9 REOF 9 REOF 9 REOF 9 REOF 9 REOF 9 REOF 9 REOF 9
REOF 10 REOF 10
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