CA NINO34 based on ERSST.v4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.70 26.68 26.63 26.53 26.43 26.55 27.03 27.61 27.95 27.86 27.61 27.41 27.41 27.48 27.54 27.53 27.50 1 -0.32 -0.28 -0.26 -0.29 -0.39 -0.45 -0.32 -0.09 0.11 0.15 0.18 0.23 0.38 0.52 0.65 0.72 0.68 1 26.70 26.71 26.73 26.67 26.54 26.60 26.98 27.46 27.76 27.67 27.44 27.22 27.17 27.22 27.25 27.25 27.22 2 -0.33 -0.25 -0.16 -0.14 -0.27 -0.40 -0.37 -0.24 -0.08 -0.04 0.01 0.05 0.14 0.26 0.37 0.43 0.40 2 26.70 26.71 26.70 26.62 26.49 26.58 27.05 27.58 27.93 27.85 27.63 27.43 27.42 27.52 27.59 27.65 27.71 3 -0.33 -0.25 -0.19 -0.20 -0.33 -0.42 -0.30 -0.12 0.09 0.13 0.20 0.25 0.39 0.55 0.71 0.84 0.89 3 26.71 26.64 26.62 26.54 26.48 26.66 27.19 27.78 28.04 27.80 27.42 27.19 27.27 27.41 27.46 27.37 27.31 4 -0.32 -0.32 -0.27 -0.27 -0.34 -0.34 -0.15 0.08 0.19 0.09 -0.00 0.02 0.24 0.45 0.57 0.55 0.50 4 26.75 26.72 26.72 26.69 26.63 26.78 27.22 27.73 28.00 27.77 27.38 27.07 27.03 27.08 27.06 26.94 26.90 5 -0.28 -0.24 -0.17 -0.13 -0.19 -0.21 -0.13 0.03 0.15 0.06 -0.05 -0.11 -0.00 0.12 0.17 0.13 0.08 5 26.79 26.79 26.77 26.71 26.64 26.79 27.24 27.77 28.07 27.90 27.53 27.20 27.16 27.21 27.21 27.13 27.16 6 -0.24 -0.17 -0.12 -0.11 -0.18 -0.21 -0.10 0.07 0.23 0.18 0.10 0.02 0.13 0.25 0.32 0.32 0.35 6 26.74 26.63 26.57 26.53 26.50 26.61 27.03 27.53 27.83 27.66 27.30 26.96 26.86 26.85 26.80 26.71 26.73 7 -0.29 -0.33 -0.32 -0.28 -0.31 -0.38 -0.31 -0.17 -0.02 -0.05 -0.12 -0.22 -0.17 -0.11 -0.09 -0.10 -0.09 7 26.80 26.74 26.75 26.78 26.77 26.91 27.29 27.74 28.00 27.80 27.43 27.06 26.92 26.87 26.78 26.66 26.67 8 -0.23 -0.22 -0.13 -0.03 -0.04 -0.09 -0.05 0.04 0.15 0.09 0.00 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09 -0.11 -0.15 -0.15 8 26.82 26.78 26.77 26.75 26.71 26.82 27.22 27.70 28.02 27.89 27.56 27.19 27.11 27.12 27.10 27.05 27.08 9 -0.21 -0.18 -0.12 -0.07 -0.11 -0.17 -0.13 -0.01 0.17 0.17 0.13 0.01 0.08 0.16 0.22 0.23 0.26 9 26.85 26.80 26.73 26.63 26.49 26.50 26.81 27.22 27.47 27.30 26.94 26.57 26.44 26.40 26.31 26.16 26.18 10 -0.18 -0.16 -0.16 -0.19 -0.32 -0.50 -0.54 -0.48 -0.38 -0.41 -0.48 -0.61 -0.59 -0.56 -0.58 -0.66 -0.64 10 26.87 26.82 26.80 26.77 26.67 26.72 27.03 27.40 27.60 27.37 26.95 26.52 26.34 26.28 26.15 25.97 25.95 11 -0.16 -0.14 -0.09 -0.05 -0.15 -0.28 -0.32 -0.30 -0.24 -0.34 -0.47 -0.66 -0.69 -0.69 -0.73 -0.85 -0.86 11 26.89 26.85 26.82 26.78 26.70 26.75 27.07 27.45 27.69 27.51 27.14 26.70 26.56 26.54 26.48 26.36 26.37 12 -0.14 -0.11 -0.07 -0.03 -0.12 -0.24 -0.28 -0.26 -0.15 -0.20 -0.29 -0.47 -0.47 -0.42 -0.40 -0.46 -0.44 12 ensemble average 26.78 26.74 26.72 26.67 26.59 26.69 27.10 27.58 27.86 27.70 27.36 27.04 26.97 27.00 26.98 26.90 26.90 -0.25 -0.22 -0.17 -0.15 -0.23 -0.31 -0.25 -0.12 0.02 -0.01 -0.07 -0.13 -0.06 0.04 0.09 0.08 0.08 climatology 27.03 26.96 26.89 26.82 26.82 27.00 27.35 27.70 27.84 27.71 27.43 27.18 27.03 26.96 26.89 26.82 26.82 CA NINO34 based on HAD-OISST -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.40 26.40 26.43 26.37 26.28 26.44 26.97 27.51 27.78 27.62 27.26 26.92 26.77 26.81 26.80 26.80 26.84 1 -0.39 -0.32 -0.24 -0.25 -0.37 -0.43 -0.29 -0.13 0.01 0.02 -0.00 -0.04 -0.02 0.08 0.13 0.17 0.19 1 26.40 26.41 26.42 26.38 26.30 26.43 26.96 27.52 27.88 27.80 27.54 27.25 27.14 27.25 27.33 27.39 27.36 2 -0.38 -0.31 -0.25 -0.24 -0.36 -0.44 -0.30 -0.12 0.10 0.20 0.27 0.29 0.35 0.53 0.66 0.76 0.71 2 26.41 26.41 26.39 26.38 26.32 26.48 27.01 27.52 27.77 27.50 27.08 26.71 26.58 26.67 26.69 26.70 26.69 3 -0.38 -0.31 -0.28 -0.24 -0.33 -0.39 -0.25 -0.11 -0.01 -0.10 -0.19 -0.25 -0.20 -0.05 0.02 0.07 0.04 3 26.42 26.40 26.40 26.39 26.34 26.58 27.13 27.65 27.85 27.59 27.16 26.73 26.55 26.56 26.56 26.56 26.56 4 -0.37 -0.33 -0.27 -0.24 -0.31 -0.29 -0.13 0.01 0.08 -0.01 -0.10 -0.23 -0.24 -0.16 -0.11 -0.06 -0.09 4 26.51 26.47 26.46 26.47 26.48 26.69 27.21 27.69 27.92 27.61 27.18 26.76 26.61 26.64 26.67 26.70 26.68 5 -0.28 -0.25 -0.21 -0.15 -0.17 -0.18 -0.06 0.05 0.14 0.01 -0.09 -0.21 -0.17 -0.08 -0.00 0.07 0.03 5 26.54 26.47 26.40 26.42 26.42 26.64 27.12 27.56 27.78 27.50 27.04 26.59 26.42 26.40 26.32 26.25 26.24 6 -0.25 -0.26 -0.27 -0.20 -0.23 -0.23 -0.15 -0.08 0.00 -0.10 -0.22 -0.38 -0.37 -0.32 -0.35 -0.37 -0.41 6 26.52 26.48 26.40 26.43 26.39 26.64 27.07 27.48 27.61 27.29 26.88 26.42 26.16 26.00 25.84 25.78 25.85 7 -0.26 -0.25 -0.26 -0.20 -0.26 -0.23 -0.19 -0.16 -0.17 -0.31 -0.39 -0.55 -0.63 -0.72 -0.83 -0.84 -0.80 7 26.57 26.54 26.47 26.52 26.49 26.71 27.11 27.47 27.58 27.23 26.79 26.33 26.10 25.96 25.79 25.73 25.78 8 -0.22 -0.18 -0.19 -0.11 -0.16 -0.16 -0.15 -0.17 -0.20 -0.37 -0.47 -0.63 -0.69 -0.76 -0.88 -0.90 -0.87 8 26.60 26.54 26.45 26.49 26.47 26.68 27.07 27.45 27.61 27.30 26.86 26.37 26.16 26.06 25.93 25.88 25.93 9 -0.19 -0.18 -0.22 -0.13 -0.18 -0.19 -0.19 -0.19 -0.17 -0.30 -0.40 -0.59 -0.63 -0.66 -0.73 -0.74 -0.72 9 26.62 26.58 26.45 26.41 26.32 26.50 26.89 27.26 27.39 27.10 26.72 26.26 26.03 25.86 25.69 25.58 25.67 10 -0.17 -0.14 -0.22 -0.21 -0.33 -0.36 -0.37 -0.37 -0.39 -0.50 -0.55 -0.70 -0.75 -0.86 -0.98 -1.04 -0.98 10 26.65 26.60 26.47 26.45 26.36 26.53 26.89 27.24 27.35 27.00 26.56 26.04 25.79 25.59 25.40 25.25 25.32 11 -0.14 -0.12 -0.20 -0.17 -0.29 -0.33 -0.38 -0.40 -0.43 -0.60 -0.70 -0.92 -1.00 -1.13 -1.27 -1.37 -1.33 11 26.66 26.60 26.45 26.46 26.39 26.56 26.93 27.28 27.41 27.07 26.63 26.10 25.86 25.72 25.58 25.45 25.48 12 -0.13 -0.13 -0.22 -0.17 -0.26 -0.30 -0.34 -0.36 -0.37 -0.53 -0.63 -0.86 -0.92 -1.00 -1.09 -1.17 -1.17 12 ensemble average 26.52 26.49 26.43 26.43 26.38 26.57 27.03 27.47 27.66 27.38 26.97 26.54 26.35 26.29 26.22 26.17 26.20 -0.26 -0.23 -0.24 -0.19 -0.27 -0.29 -0.23 -0.17 -0.12 -0.21 -0.29 -0.42 -0.44 -0.43 -0.45 -0.45 -0.45 climatology 26.79 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65 26.87 27.26 27.64 27.78 27.60 27.26 26.96 26.79 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65