CA NINO34 based on ERSST.v4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.37 26.29 26.20 26.16 26.38 26.93 27.51 27.83 27.76 27.58 27.43 27.44 27.48 27.48 27.45 27.41 27.56 1 -0.59 -0.60 -0.62 -0.66 -0.62 -0.42 -0.19 -0.01 0.05 0.15 0.26 0.41 0.52 0.59 0.63 0.59 0.56 1 26.36 26.30 26.27 26.24 26.36 26.78 27.33 27.71 27.68 27.47 27.29 27.33 27.48 27.60 27.64 27.65 27.79 2 -0.60 -0.58 -0.54 -0.58 -0.64 -0.57 -0.37 -0.13 -0.03 0.04 0.11 0.30 0.52 0.71 0.83 0.83 0.79 2 26.37 26.31 26.29 26.25 26.40 26.86 27.40 27.74 27.67 27.49 27.39 27.45 27.57 27.64 27.71 27.77 27.94 3 -0.59 -0.57 -0.53 -0.57 -0.60 -0.49 -0.30 -0.10 -0.05 0.06 0.21 0.42 0.61 0.75 0.89 0.95 0.94 3 26.39 26.37 26.36 26.35 26.51 27.00 27.50 27.76 27.62 27.39 27.20 27.19 27.18 27.12 27.02 27.00 27.25 4 -0.58 -0.52 -0.45 -0.47 -0.49 -0.34 -0.20 -0.08 -0.10 -0.04 0.03 0.16 0.22 0.23 0.20 0.18 0.25 4 26.47 26.40 26.40 26.40 26.58 27.05 27.57 27.83 27.63 27.31 27.11 27.12 27.17 27.09 26.95 26.94 27.19 5 -0.49 -0.49 -0.42 -0.42 -0.41 -0.29 -0.13 -0.01 -0.09 -0.12 -0.07 0.09 0.21 0.20 0.14 0.12 0.19 5 26.48 26.40 26.39 26.41 26.62 27.11 27.64 27.90 27.72 27.41 27.19 27.17 27.22 27.17 27.09 27.11 27.36 6 -0.48 -0.49 -0.42 -0.41 -0.38 -0.23 -0.06 0.06 0.00 -0.02 0.02 0.15 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.36 6 26.45 26.41 26.40 26.39 26.52 26.97 27.47 27.78 27.67 27.36 27.03 26.92 26.91 26.85 26.75 26.72 27.01 7 -0.51 -0.47 -0.41 -0.43 -0.47 -0.38 -0.23 -0.06 -0.05 -0.07 -0.15 -0.11 -0.05 -0.04 -0.07 -0.09 0.02 7 26.52 26.49 26.55 26.59 26.74 27.11 27.57 27.85 27.67 27.30 26.95 26.87 26.87 26.78 26.64 26.62 26.96 8 -0.44 -0.40 -0.27 -0.23 -0.26 -0.23 -0.13 0.01 -0.04 -0.13 -0.23 -0.16 -0.09 -0.11 -0.18 -0.19 -0.04 8 26.54 26.49 26.50 26.53 26.70 27.12 27.63 27.97 27.87 27.56 27.23 27.19 27.26 27.25 27.15 27.11 27.36 9 -0.42 -0.40 -0.32 -0.29 -0.30 -0.22 -0.07 0.12 0.15 0.13 0.05 0.16 0.29 0.37 0.34 0.29 0.36 9 26.52 26.44 26.39 26.35 26.46 26.88 27.39 27.72 27.61 27.28 26.93 26.80 26.79 26.73 26.60 26.56 26.84 10 -0.44 -0.44 -0.42 -0.46 -0.54 -0.47 -0.31 -0.12 -0.10 -0.14 -0.25 -0.23 -0.17 -0.16 -0.22 -0.26 -0.16 10 26.55 26.52 26.56 26.56 26.66 27.02 27.50 27.81 27.64 27.26 26.85 26.73 26.72 26.62 26.46 26.43 26.74 11 -0.41 -0.37 -0.26 -0.26 -0.33 -0.32 -0.20 -0.03 -0.07 -0.16 -0.32 -0.30 -0.24 -0.27 -0.36 -0.39 -0.26 11 26.57 26.52 26.52 26.51 26.62 27.03 27.52 27.88 27.80 27.48 27.10 27.02 27.09 27.09 26.97 26.91 27.15 12 -0.39 -0.37 -0.30 -0.31 -0.37 -0.32 -0.18 0.04 0.08 0.06 -0.08 -0.01 0.12 0.20 0.16 0.09 0.15 12 ensemble average 26.47 26.41 26.40 26.39 26.55 26.99 27.50 27.82 27.69 27.41 27.14 27.10 27.14 27.12 27.04 27.02 27.26 -0.49 -0.47 -0.41 -0.42 -0.45 -0.36 -0.20 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 0.07 0.18 0.23 0.22 0.20 0.26 climatology 26.96 26.89 26.82 26.82 27.00 27.35 27.70 27.84 27.71 27.43 27.18 27.03 26.96 26.89 26.82 26.82 27.00 CA NINO34 based on HAD-OISST -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.14 26.03 25.91 25.83 26.05 26.65 27.24 27.57 27.46 27.21 26.96 26.88 26.91 26.95 26.93 26.94 27.10 1 -0.59 -0.64 -0.71 -0.82 -0.81 -0.62 -0.39 -0.20 -0.13 -0.05 -0.00 0.09 0.19 0.28 0.31 0.29 0.24 1 26.17 26.12 26.04 26.00 26.21 26.83 27.50 27.98 27.99 27.83 27.67 27.70 27.87 27.97 28.00 27.97 28.07 2 -0.55 -0.55 -0.58 -0.65 -0.65 -0.43 -0.14 0.20 0.39 0.57 0.71 0.91 1.14 1.30 1.38 1.32 1.21 2 26.15 26.05 25.99 25.90 26.10 26.68 27.27 27.60 27.44 27.13 26.83 26.72 26.75 26.75 26.69 26.69 26.97 3 -0.58 -0.62 -0.64 -0.75 -0.76 -0.58 -0.37 -0.18 -0.16 -0.13 -0.13 -0.07 0.03 0.08 0.07 0.04 0.10 3 26.17 26.09 26.05 26.01 26.22 26.79 27.29 27.51 27.26 26.94 26.62 26.45 26.35 26.25 26.21 26.28 26.62 4 -0.55 -0.57 -0.57 -0.64 -0.65 -0.48 -0.35 -0.27 -0.34 -0.32 -0.35 -0.34 -0.37 -0.41 -0.41 -0.37 -0.25 4 26.29 26.22 26.18 26.18 26.41 27.03 27.63 28.03 27.91 27.65 27.40 27.36 27.43 27.44 27.43 27.38 27.56 5 -0.43 -0.45 -0.45 -0.47 -0.46 -0.23 -0.01 0.26 0.31 0.39 0.44 0.57 0.71 0.77 0.81 0.73 0.69 5 26.30 26.19 26.19 26.18 26.39 26.88 27.34 27.63 27.44 27.11 26.72 26.60 26.60 26.60 26.58 26.60 26.89 6 -0.43 -0.47 -0.44 -0.47 -0.48 -0.39 -0.30 -0.15 -0.16 -0.16 -0.24 -0.19 -0.13 -0.07 -0.05 -0.05 0.03 6 26.28 26.14 26.14 26.12 26.39 26.90 27.37 27.54 27.24 26.87 26.46 26.24 26.09 25.94 25.89 25.97 26.37 7 -0.44 -0.53 -0.49 -0.53 -0.48 -0.36 -0.27 -0.24 -0.36 -0.39 -0.51 -0.55 -0.63 -0.73 -0.74 -0.68 -0.50 7 26.39 26.28 26.30 26.29 26.53 26.99 27.44 27.71 27.48 27.15 26.76 26.63 26.58 26.47 26.40 26.42 26.74 8 -0.33 -0.39 -0.33 -0.36 -0.34 -0.27 -0.19 -0.07 -0.12 -0.12 -0.20 -0.15 -0.14 -0.20 -0.22 -0.23 -0.13 8 26.38 26.26 26.28 26.24 26.45 26.86 27.28 27.52 27.29 26.93 26.48 26.35 26.29 26.24 26.17 26.22 26.58 9 -0.34 -0.41 -0.34 -0.41 -0.42 -0.41 -0.36 -0.26 -0.31 -0.33 -0.48 -0.44 -0.43 -0.43 -0.45 -0.43 -0.29 9 26.33 26.16 26.10 26.02 26.26 26.78 27.27 27.46 27.16 26.79 26.36 26.15 25.98 25.81 25.74 25.83 26.23 10 -0.39 -0.51 -0.52 -0.63 -0.61 -0.49 -0.37 -0.32 -0.43 -0.47 -0.60 -0.64 -0.74 -0.86 -0.88 -0.82 -0.63 10 26.42 26.25 26.21 26.16 26.38 26.83 27.29 27.55 27.34 27.03 26.63 26.47 26.38 26.25 26.15 26.16 26.47 11 -0.30 -0.41 -0.41 -0.49 -0.48 -0.43 -0.35 -0.22 -0.26 -0.24 -0.33 -0.31 -0.34 -0.41 -0.47 -0.49 -0.40 11 26.39 26.22 26.21 26.14 26.33 26.74 27.16 27.40 27.16 26.82 26.33 26.16 26.05 25.99 25.89 25.93 26.27 12 -0.34 -0.45 -0.41 -0.51 -0.54 -0.53 -0.48 -0.37 -0.44 -0.45 -0.63 -0.63 -0.67 -0.68 -0.74 -0.72 -0.59 12 ensemble average 26.28 26.17 26.13 26.09 26.31 26.83 27.34 27.63 27.43 27.12 26.77 26.64 26.61 26.55 26.51 26.53 26.82 -0.44 -0.50 -0.49 -0.56 -0.56 -0.43 -0.30 -0.15 -0.17 -0.14 -0.19 -0.15 -0.11 -0.11 -0.12 -0.12 -0.04 climatology 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65 26.87 27.26 27.64 27.78 27.60 27.26 26.96 26.79 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65 26.87