CA NINO34 based on ERSST.v4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.20 26.06 25.97 25.85 25.81 26.02 26.60 27.16 27.54 27.53 27.30 26.96 26.75 26.65 26.59 26.52 26.62 1 -0.83 -0.91 -0.92 -0.96 -1.01 -0.98 -0.75 -0.54 -0.31 -0.18 -0.13 -0.22 -0.28 -0.31 -0.30 -0.29 -0.20 1 26.21 26.12 26.05 25.94 25.92 26.19 26.81 27.43 27.88 27.98 27.79 27.49 27.40 27.42 27.44 27.36 27.35 2 -0.81 -0.84 -0.84 -0.87 -0.90 -0.80 -0.53 -0.27 0.04 0.26 0.37 0.32 0.37 0.46 0.56 0.54 0.53 2 26.24 26.15 26.06 25.96 26.00 26.31 26.92 27.52 27.96 28.06 27.88 27.61 27.56 27.65 27.78 27.79 27.84 3 -0.79 -0.81 -0.83 -0.85 -0.82 -0.69 -0.43 -0.18 0.12 0.35 0.45 0.43 0.53 0.69 0.89 0.98 1.03 3 26.21 26.11 26.04 25.89 25.82 26.05 26.63 27.20 27.59 27.61 27.36 26.98 26.77 26.72 26.72 26.67 26.74 4 -0.82 -0.85 -0.85 -0.93 -1.00 -0.95 -0.72 -0.50 -0.25 -0.10 -0.06 -0.20 -0.26 -0.24 -0.17 -0.15 -0.08 4 26.25 26.18 26.11 25.93 25.87 26.10 26.69 27.25 27.67 27.72 27.50 27.16 27.01 26.99 26.96 26.86 26.86 5 -0.78 -0.78 -0.78 -0.88 -0.95 -0.89 -0.65 -0.45 -0.18 0.00 0.08 -0.02 -0.02 0.02 0.07 0.05 0.05 5 26.27 26.21 26.13 25.99 26.00 26.28 26.87 27.46 27.87 27.90 27.66 27.32 27.20 27.23 27.30 27.30 27.38 6 -0.76 -0.76 -0.76 -0.82 -0.81 -0.72 -0.47 -0.24 0.03 0.19 0.23 0.14 0.17 0.26 0.41 0.49 0.56 6 26.25 26.09 25.98 25.87 25.87 26.13 26.75 27.32 27.68 27.63 27.30 26.88 26.64 26.57 26.53 26.46 26.56 7 -0.78 -0.87 -0.90 -0.95 -0.95 -0.86 -0.60 -0.38 -0.16 -0.08 -0.13 -0.30 -0.39 -0.39 -0.36 -0.35 -0.26 7 26.26 26.11 25.98 25.83 25.84 26.15 26.79 27.38 27.78 27.79 27.50 27.13 26.93 26.88 26.83 26.71 26.74 8 -0.77 -0.85 -0.90 -0.99 -0.98 -0.85 -0.55 -0.32 -0.07 0.07 0.07 -0.05 -0.10 -0.08 -0.06 -0.11 -0.08 8 26.29 26.14 26.01 25.91 26.00 26.33 26.98 27.58 27.98 27.97 27.70 27.36 27.23 27.23 27.26 27.20 27.25 9 -0.74 -0.82 -0.88 -0.90 -0.82 -0.66 -0.37 -0.13 0.13 0.26 0.28 0.19 0.20 0.27 0.38 0.39 0.44 9 26.29 26.13 26.08 26.02 26.09 26.38 27.04 27.64 28.07 28.04 27.75 27.36 27.21 27.26 27.31 27.27 27.30 10 -0.74 -0.83 -0.81 -0.80 -0.73 -0.61 -0.31 -0.06 0.23 0.33 0.32 0.18 0.18 0.29 0.43 0.46 0.48 10 26.30 26.16 26.08 25.97 26.02 26.32 27.00 27.59 28.03 28.05 27.78 27.39 27.18 27.17 27.20 27.16 27.17 11 -0.73 -0.81 -0.81 -0.84 -0.80 -0.68 -0.35 -0.11 0.18 0.34 0.36 0.21 0.15 0.21 0.31 0.34 0.35 11 26.33 26.20 26.13 26.06 26.16 26.51 27.18 27.77 28.17 28.17 27.91 27.56 27.39 27.41 27.46 27.44 27.46 12 -0.70 -0.76 -0.76 -0.75 -0.66 -0.49 -0.17 0.07 0.33 0.46 0.48 0.38 0.36 0.45 0.58 0.62 0.65 12 ensemble average 26.26 26.14 26.05 25.94 25.95 26.23 26.85 27.44 27.85 27.87 27.62 27.27 27.11 27.10 27.12 27.06 27.11 -0.77 -0.82 -0.84 -0.88 -0.87 -0.77 -0.49 -0.26 0.01 0.16 0.19 0.09 0.08 0.14 0.23 0.25 0.29 climatology 27.03 26.96 26.89 26.82 26.82 27.00 27.35 27.70 27.84 27.71 27.43 27.18 27.03 26.96 26.89 26.82 26.82 CA NINO34 based on HAD-OISST -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 25.81 25.65 25.59 25.51 25.58 25.87 26.57 27.21 27.60 27.58 27.26 26.82 26.49 26.43 26.43 26.41 26.49 1 -0.98 -1.07 -1.08 -1.11 -1.07 -1.00 -0.69 -0.43 -0.18 -0.02 -0.00 -0.14 -0.30 -0.29 -0.24 -0.21 -0.16 1 25.80 25.70 25.65 25.61 25.74 26.08 26.81 27.56 28.08 28.17 27.94 27.58 27.38 27.39 27.48 27.51 27.55 2 -0.98 -1.03 -1.02 -1.01 -0.91 -0.79 -0.45 -0.08 0.30 0.57 0.67 0.62 0.59 0.67 0.82 0.89 0.90 2 25.84 25.66 25.57 25.51 25.62 25.96 26.63 27.31 27.77 27.82 27.53 27.14 26.94 26.93 27.02 27.03 27.11 3 -0.95 -1.06 -1.10 -1.11 -1.03 -0.91 -0.63 -0.32 -0.01 0.22 0.27 0.18 0.15 0.21 0.35 0.40 0.46 3 25.83 25.65 25.59 25.51 25.60 25.89 26.60 27.22 27.59 27.57 27.22 26.78 26.44 26.42 26.45 26.46 26.54 4 -0.96 -1.07 -1.08 -1.11 -1.05 -0.97 -0.67 -0.41 -0.19 -0.03 -0.04 -0.18 -0.34 -0.30 -0.21 -0.17 -0.11 4 25.83 25.74 25.69 25.62 25.70 26.04 26.77 27.50 27.92 27.89 27.53 27.11 26.87 26.85 26.86 26.83 26.86 5 -0.95 -0.98 -0.98 -1.01 -0.95 -0.82 -0.50 -0.14 0.14 0.29 0.26 0.14 0.08 0.12 0.20 0.20 0.21 5 25.91 25.75 25.67 25.61 25.68 25.99 26.62 27.26 27.66 27.66 27.31 26.88 26.66 26.66 26.75 26.78 26.90 6 -0.88 -0.97 -1.00 -1.02 -0.97 -0.87 -0.65 -0.38 -0.12 0.06 0.05 -0.08 -0.13 -0.06 0.09 0.16 0.25 6 25.84 25.63 25.59 25.56 25.65 25.95 26.60 27.25 27.56 27.46 27.03 26.54 26.22 26.18 26.22 26.17 26.27 7 -0.94 -1.10 -1.08 -1.06 -1.00 -0.91 -0.66 -0.39 -0.22 -0.14 -0.23 -0.42 -0.56 -0.54 -0.45 -0.46 -0.38 7 25.86 25.69 25.64 25.61 25.73 26.08 26.78 27.47 27.84 27.77 27.36 26.91 26.66 26.63 26.64 26.55 26.59 8 -0.93 -1.04 -1.03 -1.02 -0.92 -0.78 -0.49 -0.16 0.06 0.17 0.10 -0.05 -0.13 -0.09 -0.03 -0.08 -0.06 8 25.92 25.69 25.61 25.61 25.74 26.09 26.73 27.38 27.77 27.72 27.34 26.88 26.67 26.72 26.84 26.80 26.84 9 -0.87 -1.04 -1.06 -1.02 -0.91 -0.78 -0.53 -0.25 -0.01 0.13 0.08 -0.09 -0.11 -0.00 0.17 0.17 0.19 9 25.89 25.74 25.79 25.81 25.92 26.24 26.89 27.52 27.87 27.78 27.37 26.90 26.63 26.68 26.78 26.79 26.83 10 -0.89 -0.98 -0.88 -0.82 -0.73 -0.62 -0.37 -0.12 0.09 0.18 0.11 -0.06 -0.15 -0.04 0.11 0.17 0.18 10 25.90 25.71 25.71 25.72 25.89 26.26 26.95 27.64 28.05 28.00 27.60 27.11 26.85 26.87 26.98 26.99 27.03 11 -0.89 -1.02 -0.96 -0.91 -0.76 -0.60 -0.32 0.00 0.27 0.41 0.33 0.15 0.06 0.15 0.32 0.36 0.38 11 25.95 25.75 25.72 25.73 25.86 26.22 26.87 27.53 27.96 27.95 27.62 27.19 27.01 27.10 27.25 27.24 27.24 12 -0.84 -0.97 -0.95 -0.90 -0.79 -0.65 -0.40 -0.10 0.18 0.35 0.35 0.23 0.22 0.38 0.59 0.61 0.59 12 ensemble average 25.87 25.70 25.65 25.62 25.73 26.06 26.73 27.40 27.80 27.78 27.43 26.99 26.74 26.74 26.81 26.80 26.85 -0.92 -1.03 -1.02 -1.01 -0.92 -0.81 -0.53 -0.23 0.03 0.18 0.16 0.03 -0.05 0.02 0.14 0.17 0.20 climatology 26.79 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65 26.87 27.26 27.64 27.78 27.60 27.26 26.96 26.79 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65