CA NINO34 based on ERSST.v4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.05 26.50 26.93 27.20 27.24 27.10 26.82 26.59 26.46 26.32 26.18 26.13 26.38 26.87 27.36 27.62 27.59 1 -0.95 -0.84 -0.77 -0.64 -0.47 -0.33 -0.35 -0.44 -0.50 -0.57 -0.64 -0.69 -0.61 -0.47 -0.34 -0.22 -0.12 1 26.08 26.46 26.88 27.15 27.17 27.00 26.77 26.60 26.51 26.40 26.36 26.40 26.63 27.02 27.41 27.65 27.58 2 -0.92 -0.89 -0.82 -0.70 -0.54 -0.43 -0.40 -0.43 -0.45 -0.48 -0.45 -0.42 -0.36 -0.33 -0.29 -0.20 -0.14 2 26.05 26.53 27.07 27.41 27.52 27.42 27.27 27.18 27.17 27.10 27.01 26.94 27.08 27.34 27.59 27.74 27.65 3 -0.95 -0.82 -0.63 -0.44 -0.20 -0.01 0.09 0.15 0.21 0.21 0.19 0.12 0.08 -0.01 -0.11 -0.11 -0.06 3 26.01 26.59 27.15 27.51 27.58 27.46 27.23 27.08 26.97 26.84 26.76 26.74 27.09 27.66 28.25 28.52 28.39 4 -0.99 -0.76 -0.55 -0.33 -0.14 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 0.09 0.31 0.55 0.68 0.68 4 26.09 26.62 27.15 27.47 27.52 27.38 27.17 27.04 26.98 26.90 26.80 26.77 27.01 27.50 28.00 28.32 28.31 5 -0.90 -0.72 -0.56 -0.38 -0.19 -0.04 -0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.02 -0.04 0.01 0.15 0.30 0.48 0.59 5 26.08 26.59 27.15 27.53 27.62 27.46 27.21 27.07 27.06 27.04 26.96 26.93 27.14 27.56 27.95 28.18 28.11 6 -0.92 -0.76 -0.55 -0.32 -0.09 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.15 0.12 0.14 0.21 0.25 0.33 0.40 6 26.02 26.64 27.20 27.59 27.68 27.60 27.37 27.17 27.03 26.88 26.77 26.73 27.06 27.59 28.14 28.39 28.30 7 -0.98 -0.71 -0.50 -0.25 -0.03 0.18 0.20 0.14 0.07 -0.01 -0.04 -0.09 0.06 0.24 0.44 0.55 0.59 7 26.10 26.66 27.18 27.50 27.51 27.32 27.04 26.90 26.85 26.79 26.70 26.67 26.95 27.47 28.02 28.36 28.33 8 -0.89 -0.69 -0.52 -0.35 -0.20 -0.11 -0.13 -0.13 -0.11 -0.09 -0.11 -0.14 -0.04 0.13 0.32 0.52 0.61 8 26.11 26.64 27.20 27.56 27.62 27.43 27.17 27.08 27.10 27.13 27.08 27.06 27.31 27.76 28.22 28.48 28.39 9 -0.89 -0.70 -0.50 -0.29 -0.09 0.01 -0.00 0.05 0.14 0.24 0.26 0.25 0.32 0.42 0.52 0.64 0.68 9 25.98 26.58 27.12 27.47 27.48 27.30 27.01 26.81 26.68 26.49 26.37 26.38 26.80 27.45 28.13 28.49 28.49 10 -1.02 -0.76 -0.59 -0.37 -0.24 -0.13 -0.17 -0.22 -0.28 -0.39 -0.45 -0.44 -0.19 0.10 0.43 0.65 0.78 10 26.07 26.63 27.15 27.46 27.39 27.10 26.77 26.59 26.52 26.44 26.37 26.41 26.76 27.35 27.96 28.36 28.37 11 -0.93 -0.72 -0.55 -0.39 -0.32 -0.32 -0.41 -0.44 -0.44 -0.45 -0.44 -0.40 -0.24 -0.00 0.26 0.51 0.65 11 26.09 26.65 27.21 27.55 27.55 27.31 27.03 26.91 26.91 26.90 26.87 26.91 27.20 27.69 28.19 28.48 28.42 12 -0.91 -0.69 -0.49 -0.29 -0.16 -0.11 -0.15 -0.12 -0.06 0.01 0.06 0.09 0.21 0.35 0.49 0.64 0.71 12 ensemble average 26.06 26.59 27.12 27.45 27.49 27.32 27.07 26.92 26.85 26.77 26.69 26.67 26.95 27.44 27.94 28.22 28.16 -0.94 -0.76 -0.59 -0.40 -0.22 -0.10 -0.10 -0.11 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.14 -0.04 0.09 0.24 0.37 0.45 climatology 27.00 27.35 27.70 27.84 27.71 27.43 27.18 27.03 26.96 26.89 26.82 26.82 27.00 27.35 27.70 27.84 27.71 CA NINO34 based on HAD-OISST -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.06 26.58 27.02 27.25 27.17 26.91 26.59 26.32 26.22 26.09 26.02 26.05 26.35 26.88 27.31 27.50 27.38 1 -0.81 -0.68 -0.62 -0.53 -0.43 -0.35 -0.37 -0.46 -0.50 -0.58 -0.61 -0.60 -0.52 -0.38 -0.33 -0.28 -0.22 1 26.07 26.53 26.95 27.17 27.11 26.88 26.59 26.41 26.33 26.30 26.30 26.44 26.71 27.22 27.62 27.91 27.84 2 -0.80 -0.73 -0.68 -0.61 -0.48 -0.38 -0.38 -0.38 -0.39 -0.36 -0.33 -0.21 -0.16 -0.04 -0.02 0.13 0.24 2 26.02 26.48 26.97 27.30 27.39 27.32 27.10 26.94 26.83 26.75 26.65 26.70 26.89 27.31 27.59 27.73 27.59 3 -0.84 -0.78 -0.67 -0.48 -0.21 0.05 0.13 0.16 0.11 0.08 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.05 -0.04 -0.05 -0.00 3 25.98 26.63 27.29 27.67 27.71 27.49 27.18 26.96 26.97 27.02 27.02 27.03 27.29 27.82 28.22 28.38 28.14 4 -0.89 -0.63 -0.35 -0.11 0.11 0.22 0.21 0.17 0.25 0.35 0.39 0.38 0.42 0.55 0.58 0.60 0.54 4 26.07 26.70 27.34 27.69 27.71 27.46 27.15 27.02 27.06 27.16 27.17 27.26 27.48 28.00 28.40 28.65 28.48 5 -0.80 -0.57 -0.30 -0.09 0.11 0.20 0.18 0.23 0.34 0.49 0.54 0.61 0.61 0.74 0.76 0.87 0.88 5 26.02 26.62 27.27 27.68 27.78 27.64 27.35 27.19 27.19 27.27 27.23 27.26 27.41 27.86 28.17 28.32 28.11 6 -0.85 -0.64 -0.37 -0.10 0.18 0.38 0.38 0.40 0.46 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.54 0.59 0.54 0.54 0.51 6 25.98 26.69 27.40 27.79 27.81 27.54 27.18 26.99 26.98 27.04 27.04 27.06 27.26 27.73 28.15 28.35 28.17 7 -0.88 -0.57 -0.24 0.01 0.21 0.27 0.22 0.20 0.26 0.37 0.42 0.40 0.39 0.47 0.51 0.57 0.57 7 26.04 26.66 27.30 27.65 27.63 27.32 26.94 26.81 26.82 26.95 26.99 27.13 27.37 27.90 28.37 28.70 28.61 8 -0.83 -0.61 -0.33 -0.13 0.03 0.05 -0.02 0.02 0.10 0.29 0.37 0.48 0.50 0.63 0.74 0.92 1.01 8 26.02 26.60 27.22 27.60 27.65 27.45 27.11 26.98 26.97 27.10 27.11 27.21 27.39 27.87 28.25 28.45 28.27 9 -0.85 -0.66 -0.41 -0.18 0.05 0.18 0.15 0.19 0.25 0.44 0.49 0.56 0.53 0.60 0.61 0.67 0.67 9 25.96 26.68 27.37 27.70 27.64 27.28 26.91 26.70 26.69 26.70 26.69 26.74 27.03 27.59 28.13 28.44 28.33 10 -0.91 -0.59 -0.27 -0.08 0.04 0.02 -0.05 -0.09 -0.03 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.17 0.33 0.49 0.66 0.73 10 26.01 26.65 27.30 27.60 27.48 27.07 26.65 26.49 26.48 26.53 26.54 26.68 26.99 27.60 28.19 28.60 28.57 11 -0.85 -0.61 -0.33 -0.17 -0.12 -0.19 -0.31 -0.30 -0.25 -0.14 -0.09 0.03 0.12 0.33 0.55 0.82 0.97 11 26.03 26.64 27.27 27.58 27.53 27.24 26.89 26.76 26.75 26.86 26.90 27.04 27.29 27.80 28.25 28.50 28.35 12 -0.83 -0.62 -0.37 -0.20 -0.07 -0.03 -0.07 -0.03 0.03 0.19 0.27 0.39 0.43 0.54 0.61 0.72 0.75 12 ensemble average 26.02 26.62 27.23 27.56 27.55 27.30 26.97 26.80 26.77 26.81 26.80 26.88 27.12 27.63 28.05 28.29 28.15 -0.84 -0.64 -0.41 -0.22 -0.05 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.15 0.18 0.23 0.25 0.37 0.42 0.51 0.55 climatology 26.87 27.26 27.64 27.78 27.60 27.26 26.96 26.79 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65 26.87 27.26 27.64 27.78 27.60