CA NINO34 based on ERSST.v4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.93 27.18 27.18 27.04 26.85 26.73 26.68 26.59 26.46 26.41 26.64 27.07 27.48 27.65 27.52 27.20 26.90 1 -0.64 -0.53 -0.39 -0.26 -0.19 -0.16 -0.13 -0.14 -0.21 -0.26 -0.22 -0.15 -0.08 -0.05 -0.05 -0.10 -0.15 1 26.90 27.13 27.12 26.98 26.82 26.67 26.54 26.38 26.24 26.25 26.57 27.10 27.55 27.78 27.72 27.53 27.35 2 -0.66 -0.57 -0.46 -0.31 -0.23 -0.22 -0.27 -0.36 -0.42 -0.42 -0.29 -0.12 -0.01 0.07 0.15 0.24 0.31 2 26.91 27.11 27.10 27.00 26.85 26.68 26.55 26.40 26.29 26.30 26.65 27.26 27.79 28.03 27.89 27.61 27.40 3 -0.66 -0.59 -0.48 -0.30 -0.19 -0.21 -0.26 -0.34 -0.38 -0.37 -0.21 0.04 0.23 0.32 0.31 0.32 0.36 3 26.93 27.26 27.36 27.30 27.15 27.05 27.06 27.00 26.90 26.82 27.00 27.37 27.77 27.98 27.89 27.58 27.25 4 -0.63 -0.44 -0.21 0.01 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.26 0.24 0.15 0.14 0.16 0.20 0.27 0.31 0.29 0.21 4 26.86 27.19 27.27 27.15 26.94 26.74 26.59 26.43 26.37 26.41 26.66 27.06 27.42 27.66 27.62 27.39 27.08 5 -0.70 -0.51 -0.30 -0.14 -0.10 -0.15 -0.23 -0.30 -0.29 -0.26 -0.21 -0.16 -0.15 -0.04 0.05 0.10 0.04 5 26.87 27.14 27.19 27.07 26.90 26.68 26.53 26.37 26.31 26.35 26.63 27.11 27.51 27.76 27.68 27.37 26.99 6 -0.69 -0.57 -0.39 -0.22 -0.14 -0.21 -0.29 -0.37 -0.36 -0.32 -0.23 -0.11 -0.06 0.05 0.10 0.07 -0.06 6 26.94 27.22 27.20 27.04 26.77 26.54 26.35 26.19 26.17 26.27 26.68 27.30 27.94 28.38 28.38 28.10 27.71 7 -0.63 -0.49 -0.37 -0.25 -0.28 -0.34 -0.47 -0.54 -0.50 -0.40 -0.18 0.08 0.38 0.68 0.80 0.81 0.67 7 26.89 27.21 27.26 27.08 26.82 26.57 26.37 26.19 26.12 26.22 26.60 27.17 27.65 27.94 27.90 27.67 27.34 8 -0.68 -0.49 -0.32 -0.21 -0.22 -0.32 -0.44 -0.54 -0.54 -0.45 -0.26 -0.04 0.09 0.24 0.33 0.38 0.30 8 26.94 27.24 27.28 27.14 26.91 26.70 26.57 26.46 26.41 26.48 26.81 27.32 27.76 28.02 27.93 27.64 27.26 9 -0.63 -0.47 -0.29 -0.15 -0.13 -0.18 -0.24 -0.27 -0.25 -0.19 -0.06 0.10 0.19 0.32 0.36 0.35 0.21 9 26.93 27.21 27.17 26.97 26.66 26.44 26.27 26.10 26.03 26.08 26.49 27.14 27.80 28.22 28.20 27.92 27.55 10 -0.64 -0.50 -0.41 -0.32 -0.38 -0.45 -0.55 -0.63 -0.63 -0.59 -0.37 -0.08 0.23 0.51 0.63 0.62 0.51 10 26.93 27.19 27.16 26.96 26.68 26.45 26.27 26.08 25.99 26.07 26.47 27.08 27.65 28.00 27.98 27.73 27.41 11 -0.63 -0.51 -0.41 -0.34 -0.36 -0.43 -0.54 -0.65 -0.67 -0.60 -0.39 -0.13 0.08 0.29 0.40 0.44 0.36 11 26.96 27.22 27.19 26.98 26.72 26.53 26.42 26.31 26.27 26.36 26.75 27.33 27.86 28.17 28.10 27.80 27.46 12 -0.61 -0.49 -0.38 -0.32 -0.33 -0.35 -0.39 -0.42 -0.39 -0.30 -0.11 0.11 0.30 0.47 0.52 0.51 0.42 12 ensemble average 26.92 27.19 27.21 27.06 26.84 26.65 26.52 26.38 26.30 26.33 26.66 27.19 27.68 27.96 27.90 27.63 27.31 -0.65 -0.51 -0.37 -0.23 -0.20 -0.24 -0.30 -0.36 -0.37 -0.34 -0.20 -0.02 0.12 0.26 0.33 0.34 0.27 climatology 27.57 27.70 27.57 27.29 27.04 26.89 26.81 26.73 26.66 26.67 26.86 27.22 27.57 27.70 27.57 27.29 27.04 CA NINO34 based on HAD-OISST -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 27.18 27.44 27.35 27.11 26.86 26.72 26.72 26.72 26.68 26.68 26.89 27.30 27.68 27.79 27.57 27.15 26.78 1 -0.46 -0.34 -0.25 -0.15 -0.11 -0.06 -0.01 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.01 -0.03 -0.11 -0.18 1 27.19 27.46 27.42 27.24 27.04 26.87 26.84 26.76 26.65 26.66 26.92 27.48 27.83 27.90 27.59 27.22 26.92 2 -0.45 -0.32 -0.17 -0.02 0.08 0.08 0.12 0.09 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.21 0.19 0.13 -0.01 -0.05 -0.04 2 27.16 27.34 27.32 27.13 26.88 26.64 26.54 26.46 26.38 26.48 26.84 27.41 27.83 27.87 27.61 27.20 26.95 3 -0.47 -0.44 -0.28 -0.13 -0.09 -0.14 -0.18 -0.21 -0.24 -0.17 -0.02 0.15 0.19 0.09 0.01 -0.07 -0.01 3 27.21 27.60 27.69 27.61 27.41 27.28 27.36 27.38 27.34 27.30 27.43 27.78 27.93 27.92 27.60 27.15 26.77 4 -0.43 -0.18 0.09 0.35 0.45 0.49 0.63 0.71 0.71 0.65 0.57 0.51 0.29 0.14 -0.00 -0.11 -0.19 4 27.18 27.49 27.50 27.32 27.07 26.86 26.78 26.71 26.70 26.81 27.09 27.58 27.89 28.05 27.81 27.48 27.13 5 -0.46 -0.29 -0.09 0.06 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.07 0.16 0.22 0.31 0.25 0.27 0.21 0.21 0.17 5 27.14 27.45 27.49 27.36 27.12 26.91 26.79 26.74 26.65 26.71 26.91 27.38 27.67 27.76 27.52 27.11 26.72 6 -0.50 -0.33 -0.11 0.10 0.15 0.13 0.07 0.07 0.02 0.06 0.04 0.11 0.03 -0.02 -0.08 -0.15 -0.24 6 27.24 27.61 27.68 27.50 27.13 26.87 26.85 26.89 26.89 26.94 27.21 27.73 28.10 28.28 28.06 27.65 27.28 7 -0.40 -0.17 0.08 0.23 0.17 0.09 0.12 0.22 0.26 0.29 0.34 0.46 0.47 0.50 0.46 0.39 0.31 7 27.27 27.64 27.69 27.47 27.12 26.88 26.76 26.73 26.70 26.83 27.11 27.67 28.07 28.31 28.11 27.81 27.49 8 -0.37 -0.14 0.09 0.21 0.16 0.09 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.18 0.25 0.41 0.43 0.53 0.51 0.54 0.53 8 27.22 27.57 27.65 27.51 27.20 26.96 26.83 26.83 26.76 26.82 27.03 27.56 27.92 28.07 27.84 27.45 27.07 9 -0.42 -0.20 0.05 0.24 0.24 0.17 0.11 0.16 0.14 0.17 0.16 0.29 0.28 0.30 0.24 0.19 0.11 9 27.24 27.59 27.58 27.33 26.90 26.64 26.59 26.64 26.67 26.77 27.07 27.59 28.02 28.28 28.15 27.80 27.42 10 -0.40 -0.19 -0.01 0.06 -0.06 -0.15 -0.13 -0.03 0.04 0.12 0.20 0.33 0.38 0.50 0.55 0.53 0.46 10 27.24 27.56 27.55 27.27 26.90 26.69 26.56 26.51 26.46 26.60 26.90 27.47 27.94 28.29 28.18 27.93 27.63 11 -0.40 -0.21 -0.05 0.01 -0.06 -0.10 -0.17 -0.16 -0.16 -0.05 0.03 0.21 0.31 0.51 0.58 0.67 0.66 11 27.19 27.50 27.50 27.28 26.94 26.73 26.60 26.61 26.57 26.69 26.94 27.47 27.88 28.09 27.91 27.56 27.23 12 -0.45 -0.28 -0.10 0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.13 -0.06 -0.06 0.04 0.07 0.21 0.24 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.27 12 ensemble average 27.20 27.52 27.54 27.34 27.05 26.84 26.77 26.75 26.70 26.77 27.03 27.53 27.90 28.05 27.83 27.46 27.12 -0.43 -0.26 -0.06 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.08 0.12 0.16 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.23 0.20 0.15 climatology 27.64 27.78 27.60 27.26 26.96 26.79 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65 26.87 27.26 27.64 27.78 27.60 27.26 26.96