CA NINO34 based on ERSST.v4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.25 26.08 25.92 25.85 25.97 26.34 26.94 27.47 27.75 27.76 27.60 27.44 27.35 27.27 27.16 27.06 27.08 1 -0.64 -0.74 -0.81 -0.81 -0.70 -0.52 -0.28 -0.10 0.05 0.19 0.31 0.40 0.46 0.46 0.42 0.39 0.41 1 26.26 26.12 25.97 25.85 25.91 26.25 26.80 27.24 27.50 27.56 27.49 27.40 27.45 27.48 27.48 27.37 27.38 2 -0.63 -0.70 -0.77 -0.82 -0.76 -0.61 -0.41 -0.32 -0.20 -0.02 0.20 0.36 0.56 0.67 0.74 0.71 0.71 2 26.23 26.03 25.84 25.73 25.87 26.24 26.82 27.35 27.74 27.96 28.00 27.96 27.99 28.03 28.09 28.07 28.08 3 -0.66 -0.78 -0.90 -0.93 -0.80 -0.63 -0.39 -0.22 0.03 0.39 0.71 0.92 1.10 1.22 1.35 1.40 1.42 3 26.24 26.15 26.08 25.98 26.04 26.39 26.98 27.50 27.76 27.75 27.58 27.44 27.35 27.29 27.19 27.13 27.19 4 -0.64 -0.66 -0.66 -0.68 -0.63 -0.47 -0.24 -0.07 0.05 0.18 0.29 0.39 0.46 0.47 0.45 0.47 0.52 4 26.24 26.17 26.07 25.90 25.89 26.19 26.75 27.24 27.50 27.56 27.48 27.40 27.42 27.45 27.47 27.45 27.50 5 -0.64 -0.65 -0.67 -0.76 -0.78 -0.67 -0.46 -0.32 -0.20 -0.02 0.19 0.36 0.53 0.64 0.74 0.78 0.83 5 26.26 26.15 26.02 25.90 25.95 26.28 26.85 27.37 27.65 27.72 27.66 27.60 27.60 27.59 27.58 27.62 27.75 6 -0.63 -0.67 -0.72 -0.77 -0.72 -0.58 -0.36 -0.19 -0.05 0.15 0.36 0.56 0.71 0.78 0.85 0.96 1.08 6 26.25 26.21 26.18 26.10 26.11 26.42 27.01 27.50 27.72 27.62 27.38 27.22 27.19 27.21 27.17 27.11 27.16 7 -0.63 -0.60 -0.56 -0.56 -0.56 -0.44 -0.21 -0.07 0.01 0.04 0.09 0.18 0.31 0.40 0.43 0.45 0.49 7 26.31 26.23 26.14 26.05 26.07 26.39 26.97 27.47 27.70 27.67 27.49 27.34 27.34 27.40 27.42 27.35 27.37 8 -0.58 -0.58 -0.59 -0.62 -0.60 -0.47 -0.24 -0.10 -0.00 0.09 0.20 0.30 0.45 0.58 0.68 0.69 0.70 8 26.33 26.22 26.12 26.07 26.14 26.51 27.10 27.61 27.87 27.87 27.71 27.56 27.54 27.59 27.62 27.61 27.66 9 -0.56 -0.59 -0.62 -0.60 -0.53 -0.35 -0.12 0.05 0.16 0.29 0.41 0.52 0.65 0.77 0.89 0.95 1.00 9 26.29 26.21 26.12 26.05 26.08 26.45 27.09 27.60 27.84 27.78 27.61 27.48 27.48 27.54 27.57 27.55 27.60 10 -0.59 -0.61 -0.62 -0.62 -0.59 -0.41 -0.12 0.03 0.14 0.21 0.32 0.44 0.59 0.73 0.83 0.89 0.94 10 26.34 26.21 26.09 26.02 26.10 26.44 27.01 27.47 27.72 27.69 27.46 27.22 27.11 27.13 27.16 27.15 27.19 11 -0.55 -0.60 -0.65 -0.64 -0.57 -0.42 -0.21 -0.10 0.01 0.11 0.17 0.18 0.22 0.31 0.42 0.49 0.53 11 26.34 26.20 26.10 26.12 26.27 26.67 27.25 27.70 27.95 27.94 27.74 27.49 27.36 27.37 27.42 27.46 27.56 12 -0.55 -0.61 -0.63 -0.55 -0.40 -0.19 0.03 0.14 0.25 0.36 0.45 0.45 0.47 0.55 0.68 0.80 0.89 12 ensemble average 26.28 26.16 26.05 25.97 26.03 26.38 26.96 27.46 27.73 27.74 27.60 27.46 27.43 27.45 27.44 27.41 27.46 -0.61 -0.65 -0.68 -0.70 -0.64 -0.48 -0.25 -0.11 0.02 0.17 0.31 0.42 0.54 0.63 0.71 0.75 0.79 climatology 26.89 26.81 26.73 26.66 26.67 26.86 27.22 27.57 27.70 27.57 27.29 27.04 26.89 26.81 26.73 26.66 26.67 CA NINO34 based on HAD-OISST -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 lead(mon) 26.23 26.05 25.91 25.84 25.96 26.37 27.03 27.62 27.93 27.89 27.68 27.45 27.35 27.32 27.28 27.21 27.22 1 -0.55 -0.67 -0.76 -0.78 -0.69 -0.50 -0.24 -0.02 0.15 0.30 0.42 0.49 0.56 0.59 0.61 0.59 0.57 1 26.20 26.04 25.96 25.91 26.05 26.41 26.99 27.56 27.85 27.86 27.61 27.41 27.36 27.35 27.35 27.33 27.38 2 -0.59 -0.68 -0.70 -0.72 -0.60 -0.46 -0.28 -0.08 0.08 0.26 0.35 0.45 0.57 0.63 0.68 0.70 0.73 2 26.21 26.03 25.90 25.83 26.01 26.41 27.06 27.64 28.00 28.07 27.97 27.89 27.87 27.87 27.84 27.87 27.90 3 -0.58 -0.69 -0.77 -0.80 -0.64 -0.46 -0.21 0.01 0.22 0.48 0.70 0.93 1.08 1.15 1.17 1.24 1.25 3 26.23 26.09 26.06 26.01 26.12 26.49 27.16 27.75 28.03 27.94 27.67 27.39 27.24 27.20 27.23 27.33 27.48 4 -0.56 -0.63 -0.60 -0.61 -0.53 -0.38 -0.11 0.11 0.25 0.34 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.48 0.56 0.70 0.83 4 26.23 26.10 26.12 26.03 26.11 26.42 27.04 27.60 27.80 27.73 27.47 27.27 27.13 27.04 26.99 27.08 27.30 5 -0.56 -0.62 -0.55 -0.59 -0.54 -0.44 -0.22 -0.04 0.02 0.13 0.21 0.30 0.34 0.32 0.33 0.46 0.65 5 26.25 26.11 26.04 25.90 25.96 26.29 26.98 27.60 27.88 27.82 27.59 27.40 27.21 27.11 27.06 27.20 27.43 6 -0.54 -0.61 -0.62 -0.73 -0.69 -0.58 -0.29 -0.04 0.10 0.22 0.33 0.44 0.43 0.39 0.39 0.57 0.78 6 26.24 26.15 26.05 25.98 26.03 26.40 27.12 27.73 27.93 27.74 27.37 27.10 27.02 27.10 27.13 27.16 27.19 7 -0.55 -0.58 -0.62 -0.64 -0.62 -0.46 -0.14 0.09 0.16 0.14 0.10 0.14 0.23 0.38 0.46 0.53 0.54 7 26.32 26.19 26.16 26.10 26.22 26.57 27.25 27.75 27.85 27.60 27.21 26.98 26.85 26.81 26.71 26.76 26.91 8 -0.46 -0.53 -0.51 -0.52 -0.43 -0.30 -0.01 0.12 0.07 0.01 -0.05 0.01 0.06 0.08 0.04 0.14 0.26 8 26.34 26.14 26.04 25.95 26.07 26.44 27.15 27.74 27.98 27.85 27.57 27.35 27.23 27.24 27.22 27.29 27.40 9 -0.45 -0.58 -0.62 -0.67 -0.58 -0.43 -0.11 0.10 0.20 0.26 0.31 0.39 0.44 0.52 0.55 0.67 0.75 9 26.34 26.24 26.14 26.09 26.17 26.57 27.26 27.80 27.98 27.73 27.33 27.04 26.97 27.15 27.26 27.41 27.46 10 -0.45 -0.48 -0.53 -0.54 -0.48 -0.30 -0.00 0.16 0.20 0.13 0.06 0.08 0.19 0.43 0.59 0.79 0.81 10 26.37 26.23 26.18 26.13 26.29 26.67 27.38 27.90 28.09 27.88 27.50 27.21 27.06 27.08 27.10 27.22 27.31 11 -0.42 -0.49 -0.49 -0.49 -0.36 -0.19 0.11 0.26 0.31 0.28 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.36 0.43 0.60 0.66 11 26.38 26.21 26.13 26.07 26.20 26.59 27.29 27.84 28.09 27.97 27.68 27.43 27.30 27.37 27.42 27.59 27.68 12 -0.41 -0.51 -0.54 -0.56 -0.45 -0.28 0.03 0.20 0.32 0.37 0.42 0.47 0.51 0.65 0.76 0.96 1.03 12 ensemble average 26.28 26.13 26.06 25.99 26.10 26.47 27.14 27.71 27.95 27.84 27.55 27.33 27.21 27.22 27.22 27.29 27.39 -0.51 -0.59 -0.61 -0.64 -0.55 -0.40 -0.12 0.07 0.17 0.24 0.29 0.36 0.43 0.50 0.55 0.66 0.74 climatology 26.79 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65 26.87 27.26 27.64 27.78 27.60 27.26 26.96 26.79 26.72 26.67 26.62 26.65