Standard deviation and spread

Standard deviation is calculated using forecasts from 1981 to 2006. Forecast standard deviation is for individual members rather than for 15-member ensemble mean.

SSTs (regional average)
Variable
Monthly
Seasonal
Nino1+2
Nino3
Nino34
Nino4
MDR


Seasonal spatial maps
Variable\Start month
Forecast
Observation
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
dec
SST
SSH
z200
z700
u200-u850
Prec
T2m
NA Prec
NA T2m


Monthly spatial maps
Variable\Start month
Forecast
Observation
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
dec
SST
SSH
z200
z700
u200-u850
Prec
T2m
NA Prec
NA T2m