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For 3-7 day hazards see Weather Prediction Center's: WPC 3-7 Day Hazards
U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook - Made April 24, 2024 | About the Hazards Outlook
| Categorical Outlooks Day 8-14 |
Experimental Probabilistic Outlooks |
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Valid Thursday May 02, 2024 to Wednesday May 08, 2024
US Hazards OutlookNWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM EDT April 24 2024
Synopsis: In week-2, heavy precipitation remains a concern across the central contiguous U.S. (CONUS) with mid-level low pressure forecast across the West and mid-level high pressure likely across the eastern CONUS. This will allow for a continued active pattern leading to chances for heavy rain and thunderstorms across the Plains and Mississippi Valley. Heavy rain is also expected in week-1, additional precipitation in week-2 could cause localized flooding in places across broad portions of the Plains, Mississippi Valley and western Great Lakes. Associated with mid-level low pressure over the West, chances for periodic high winds are possible for much of week-2.
Hazards
- Moderate risk of heavy precipitation for portions of the Southern and Central Plains and Middle and Upper Mississippi Valley, Thu-Fri, May 2-3.
- Slight risk of heavy precipitation for much of the northern Rockies and High Plains, Great Plains, the Mississippi Valley, the Upper Midwest, and the Lower Ohio Valley, Thu-Sun, May 2-5.
- Slight risk of high winds for much of the Southwest, Rockies, and Great Plains, Thu-Sun, May 2-5.
- Flooding possible for parts of the Central and Southern Plains, Mississippi Valley, and Ohio Valley.
For Saturday April 27 - Wednesday May 01: WPC Days 3-7 U.S. Hazards
For Thursday May 02 - Wednesday May 08:
Forecaster: Ryan Bolt
$$ Please consult local NWS Forecast Offices for short range forecasts and region-specific information.
Resources
Week-2 Probabilistic Extremes Tool
GFS Ensemble Forecasts