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For 3-7 day hazards see Weather Prediction Center's: WPC 3-7 Day Hazards
U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook - Made July 11, 2025 | About the Hazards Outlook
| Categorical Outlooks Day 8-14 |
Experimental Probabilistic Outlooks |
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Valid Saturday July 19, 2025 to Friday July 25, 2025
US Hazards OutlookNWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM EDT July 11 2025
Synopsis: Mid-level high pressure is forecast across much of the contiguous U.S. (CONUS) during the week-2 period. However, anomalies are forecast to be relatively weak early in the period, even for the summer months when mid-level anomalies are generally reduced. Mid-level high pressure begins to increase across the western Gulf Coast and Lower Mississippi Valley by the middle of the period, increasing chances for extreme heat in these regions. Late in the period, mid-level high pressure expands across the West, bringing increased chances for extreme heat to portions of the Northwest. Chances for heavy precipitation are increased across the southern Atlantic States and Central and Eastern Gulf Coast due to a stalled frontal boundary. In the Midwest, a warm front moving through the region may increase chances for a period of heavy precipitation.
Hazards
- Slight risk of heavy precipitation for portions of the Gulf Coast, Southeast, and Mid-Atlantic, Sat-Tue, Jul 19-22.
- Slight risk of heavy precipitation for portions of the Upper and Middle Mississippi Valley and upper Great Lakes, Sat-Mon, Jul 19-21.
- Slight risk of extreme heat for portions of the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley, Mon-Wed, Jul 21-23.
- Slight risk of extreme heat for portions of the Northwest, Wed-Fri, Jul 23-25.
For Monday July 14 - Friday July 18: WPC Days 3-7 U.S. Hazards
For Saturday July 19 - Friday July 25:
Forecaster: Ryan Bolt
$$ Please consult local NWS Forecast Offices for short range forecasts and region-specific information.
Resources
Week-2 Probabilistic Extremes Tool
GFS Ensemble Forecasts