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For 3-7 day hazards see Weather Prediction Center's: WPC 3-7 Day Hazards
U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook - Made October 11, 2024 | About the Hazards Outlook
| Categorical Outlooks Day 8-14 |
Experimental Probabilistic Outlooks |
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Valid Saturday October 19, 2024 to Friday October 25, 2024
US Hazards OutlookNWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM EDT October 11 2024
Synopsis: A generally quiet pattern is predicted across the contiguous U.S. (CONUS) during week-2, with mid-level high pressure shifting into the East favoring a warming trend. Late in week-1 into the outset of week-2, mid-level low pressure is forecast to dig into the western CONUS. This feature, combined with return flow around surface high pressure in the East, favors an uptick in precipitation chances across the Great Plains which may help alleviate ongoing drought conditions. Enhanced onshore flow may bring rounds of heavy precipitation into the Pacific Northwest. Flooding in the wake of Hurricane Milton remains a concern over parts of Florida.
Hazards
- Slight risk for heavy precipitation across portions of the Pacific Northwest, Sat-Sun, Oct 19-20.
- Possible flooding for the northern and central Florida Peninsula.
- Risk of Rapid Onset Drought (ROD) across portions of eastern Texas, northern Louisiana, and southern Arkansas.
For Monday October 14 - Friday October 18: WPC Days 3-7 U.S. Hazards
For Saturday October 19 - Friday October 25:
Forecaster: Thomas Collow
$$ Please consult local NWS Forecast Offices for short range forecasts and region-specific information.
Resources
Week-2 Probabilistic Extremes Tool
GFS Ensemble Forecasts