Home Site Map News Organization
www.nws.noaa.gov
Download Day 8-14 KML
Precipitation
Snow
Temperature
Wind
Probabilistic Temperature
Probabilistic Precipitation
Probabilistic Snow
Probabilistic Wind

Download Day 8-14 Shapefiles
Precipitation
Snow
Temperature and Wind
Probabilistic Temperature
Probabilistic Precipitation
Probabilistic Snow
Probabilistic Wind

Hazards Forecast Archives

Model Guidance Tools
Probabilistic Extremes Tool

About Us
   Our Mission
   Who We Are

Contact Us
   CPC Information
   CPC Web Team


HOME> Expert Assessments>Hazards Outlook

For 3-7 day hazards see Weather Prediction Center's: WPC 3-7 Day Hazards

U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook - Made March 27, 2020 | About the Hazards Outlook

Type and PeriodTemperaturePrecipitationSnowWind
Composite Days 8-14 Map No HazardsNo HazardsNo HazardsNo Hazards
Probabilistic Days 8-14 Map No HazardsNo Hazards

Composite Map
Experimental Probabilistic Outlooks

Valid Saturday April 04, 2020 to Friday April 10, 2020

US Hazards Outlook
NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM EDT March 27 2020

Synopsis: A general consensus of models shows mid-level high pressure over the North Pacific and Aleutians, and over the northwestern CONUS. Mid-level low pressure is forecast off the West and East Coasts of the Lower 48 states, with some energy beginning to move onshore in the West. Increased storm activity is expected across much of the southern CONUS during week-2.

Hazards Detailed Summary

For Monday March 30 - Friday April 03: WPC Days 3-7 U.S. Hazards

For Saturday April 04 - Friday April 10: A broad mid-level trough is predicted to be off the Eastern Seaboard at the start of week-2 and drift very slowly eastward (in the mean). This trough is forecast to influence much of the northeastern quadrant of the CONUS for most, if not all, of the period, with cooler temperatures and drier conditions. However, for areas to the south, from the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley across the remainder of the Gulf Coast region, warmer temperatures and wetter conditions are favored. This is associated with southern stream energy transiting this portion of the country. A slight risk of heavy precipitation is posted for eastern Texas, Louisiana, and adjacent parts of Arkansas and Oklahoma, Apr 4-10, where about 1.5-2.0 inches of rain is expected to fall, in the form of occasional showers and thunderstorms. Localized thunderstorm activity could result in higher precipitation totals.

Widespread cold surface high pressure forecast over Canada is expected to result in the transport of anomalously cold air southward across the north-central states during the first two days of the week-2 period. There is at least a 20% chance that minimum surface temperatures during this time could fall to the 15th percentile or lower. Portions of this region are expected to see minimum temperatures fall below 20 degrees F. Any impacts are likely to be mitigated across the northern Plains, as it is still prior to the growing season in that area.

Forecaster: Anthony Artusa

$$ Please consult local NWS Forecast Offices for short range forecasts and region-specific information.

Resources

Week-2 Probabilistic Extremes Tool

GFS Ensemble Forecasts