Extratropical Highlights
AUGUST 2009
Forecast Forum
1. Northern Hemisphere
The 500-hPa height field during
August 2009 featured positive anomalies in the polar region and across both the
central North Pacific and
North
Atlantic
Oceans
, and negative anomalies in the
Gulf of Alaska
, over the high latitudes of the
North Atlantic
, and over south-central
Russia
(Fig. E9).
Aspects of The circulation reflected a strong negative phase (-2.3) of the East
Pacific (EP) teleconnection pattern, and a strong positive phase (+2.6) of the
East Atlantic (EA) teleconnection pattern (Table
E1, Fig. E7).
The main temperature signals
during August included above average temperatures in the
Europe
and southern
China
, and below average temperatures in the central
U.S.
and in the vicinity of the
Caspian Sea
(Fig. E1).
The main precipitation signals included above average totals in the central and
northeastern
U.S.
, and below average totals in western
Alaska
, the southwestern
U.S.
, central
Europe
, and southwestern
Russia
(Fig. E3).
a. North Pacific/
North America
The 200-hPa circulation during
August featured persistent troughs over the extreme eastern North Pacific and
eastern
North America
, and a suppressed ridge over the southwestern
U.S.
(Fig. T22).
This circulation contributed to below average temperatures across the central
U.S.
It also contributed to above average precipitation across the middle portion of
the country, and to a continuation of below average precipitation along the
Gulf
Coast
. Below average precipitation was also recorded in association with a suppressed
southwestern
U.S.
monsoon.
The Midwestern U.S. has recorded
above average precipitation for the last six months (Fig. E5), while the mid-Atlantic and
Northeast regions have recorded above average totals in each of the last three
months. Conversely, rainfall deficits in the
Gulf
Coast
states extend back to November 2008.
b.
North Atlantic
and
Europe
The 500-hPa circulation during
August featured a dipole pattern of height anomalies over the
North Atlantic
, with above average heights in the middle latitudes and below average heights
at high latitudes (Fig. E9).
This pattern reflected a strong positive phase of the East Atlantic (EA)
teleconnection pattern (Table E1).
This circulation was associated with enhanced upper-level westerly winds and
increased storminess in northern
Europe
, and with below average precipitation in portions of southern
Europe
(Fig. E3).
It was also associated with above average temperatures across central and
southern
Europe
, where departures in some areas exceeded the 90th percentile of
occurrences (Fig. E1).
2. Southern Hemisphere
The 200-hPa streamfunction
field during August indicates El Niņo was impacting the upper-level circulation
in both the SH subtropics and extratropics (Fig.
T22). The subtropical ridge was
stronger than average across the central South Pacific and weaker then average
over the
Indian Ocean
. There was also an overall eastward extension/ shift of the mean subtropical
ridge, which is consistent with El Niņo. Another El Niņo impact is indicated
by cyclonic streamfunction anomalies across much of the SH extratropics (Fig.
T22).
The 500-circulation during
August featured an anomalous zonal wave-3 pattern, with above average heights at
high latitudes centered over the three ocean basins and below average heights
located generally poleward of the three continents (Fig. E15). The main temperature signals
during August included significantly warmer than normal conditions across
Australia
and southern
South America
(Fig. E1). Precipitation was well above
average in southeastern
Brazil
, and was well below average in eastern
Australia
for a second month (Figs. E3,
E4).
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