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                   Extratropical Highlights 
                  AUGUST 2009
 
                  
Forecast Forum
1. Northern Hemisphere
 
 
 
The 500-hPa height field during
August 2009 featured positive anomalies in the polar region and across both the
central North Pacific and 
North
 
Atlantic
 
Oceans
, and negative anomalies in the 
Gulf of Alaska
, over the high latitudes of the 
North Atlantic
, and over south-central 
Russia
 (Fig. E9).
Aspects of The circulation reflected a strong negative phase (-2.3) of the East
Pacific (EP) teleconnection pattern, and a strong positive phase (+2.6) of the
East Atlantic (EA) teleconnection pattern (Table
E1, Fig. E7). 
The main temperature signals
during August included above average temperatures in the 
Europe
 and southern 
China
, and below average temperatures in the central 
U.S.
 and in the vicinity of the 
Caspian Sea
 (Fig. E1).
The main precipitation signals included above average totals in the central and
northeastern 
U.S.
, and below average totals in western 
Alaska
, the southwestern 
U.S.
, central 
Europe
, and southwestern 
Russia
 (Fig. E3). 
 
 
a. North Pacific/ 
North America
 
The 200-hPa circulation during
August featured persistent troughs over the extreme eastern North Pacific and
eastern 
North America
, and a suppressed ridge over the southwestern 
U.S.
 (Fig. T22).
This circulation contributed to below average temperatures across the central 
U.S.
 It also contributed to above average precipitation across the middle portion of
the country, and to a continuation of below average precipitation along the 
Gulf
 
Coast
. Below average precipitation was also recorded in association with a suppressed
southwestern 
U.S.
 monsoon. 
The Midwestern U.S. has recorded
above average precipitation for the last six months (Fig. E5), while the mid-Atlantic and
Northeast regions have recorded above average totals in each of the last three
months. Conversely, rainfall deficits in the 
Gulf
 
Coast
 states extend back to November 2008. 
 
 
b. 
North Atlantic
 and 
Europe
 
The 500-hPa circulation during
August featured a dipole pattern of height anomalies over the 
North Atlantic
, with above average heights in the middle latitudes and below average heights
at high latitudes (Fig. E9).
This pattern reflected a strong positive phase of the East Atlantic (EA)
teleconnection pattern (Table E1).
This circulation was associated with enhanced upper-level westerly winds and
increased storminess in northern 
Europe
, and with below average precipitation in portions of southern 
Europe
 (Fig. E3).
It was also associated with above average temperatures across central and
southern 
Europe
, where departures in some areas exceeded the 90th percentile of
occurrences (Fig. E1). 
  
  
  
 2. Southern Hemisphere
 
 
     
The 200-hPa streamfunction
field during August indicates El Niņo was impacting the upper-level circulation
in both the SH subtropics and extratropics (Fig.
T22). The subtropical ridge was
stronger than average across the central South Pacific and weaker then average
over the 
Indian Ocean
. There was also an overall eastward extension/ shift of the mean subtropical
ridge, which is consistent with El Niņo. Another El Niņo impact is indicated
by cyclonic streamfunction anomalies across much of the SH extratropics (Fig.
T22). 
The 500-circulation during
August featured an anomalous zonal wave-3 pattern, with above average heights at
high latitudes centered over the three ocean basins and below average heights
located generally poleward of the three continents (Fig. E15). The main temperature signals
during August included significantly warmer than normal conditions across 
Australia
 and southern 
South America
 (Fig. E1). Precipitation was well above
average in southeastern 
Brazil
, and was well below average in eastern 
Australia
 for a second month (Figs. E3,
E4). 
 
 
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