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HOME > Outreach > Meetings > 30th Annual Climate Diagnostics & Prediction Workshop Agenda
 
 
Program for the 30th Annual Climate Diagnostics & Prediction Workshop
The Pennsylvania State University
October 24-28, 2005



October 24, 2005

7:00-8:00 Registration
7:15-8:00 Poster Set-up
8:00-8:30 Welcoming and Opening Remarks

     Mr. James Laver, Director, Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA

     Dr. Bill Brune, Chair, Department of Meteorology / The Pennsylvania State
     University

     Mr. Paul Knight, Department of Meteorology / The Pennsylvania State
     University

     Dr. Louis Uccellini, Director, National Centers for Environmental
     Prediction/NWS/NOAA

SESSION 1: SESSION 1: CLIMATE MODEL ASSESSMENTS (NOAA CLIMATE TEST BED) 
     Chair: Jae Schemm

8:30-8:45 The NOAA Climate Test Bed (CTB) / 1st CTB Annual Meeting
Wayne Higgins

8:45-9:15 An Overview of New Developments with the CFS
Suranjana Saha



9:15-10:30   POSTER SESSION 1: CLIMATE MODEL ASSESSMENTS AND MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLES



10:30-11:00 An Analysis of Subseasonal Variability in the NCEP CFS and NASA NSIPP Coupled GCMs
Myong-In Lee, Siegfried Schubert, and Max Suarez

11:00-11:30 Coupled Shock Initialization in the CFS Prediction System
Ben Kirtman

11:30-12:00 Marine Stratus and its Relationship to Regional and Large-Scale Circulations: An Examination with the NCEP CFS Simulations
Pingping Xie, Wanqui Wang, Wayne Higgins and Phil Arkin

12:00-1:30   LUNCH

SESSION 1: SESSION 1: CLIMATE MODEL ASSESSMENTS (NOAA CLIMATE TEST BED) cont. 
     Chair: Jae Schemm

1:00-1:30 Using GLDAS to Derive Optimal Land States for CFS/Noah Testing in the NOAA Climate Test Bed
Jesse Meng, Kenneth Mitchell, and Helin Wei

1:30-2:00 Evaluation of CFS-Tier2 Forecasts with Bias-Corrected SST
Jae Schemm, K. Seo, Q.Zhang and M. L’Heureux

SESSION 2: MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLES (NOAA CLIMATE TEST BED) 
     Chair: Arun Kumar

2:00-2:30 MM Ensembles for Week 1 and Week 2 Predictions
Edward O’Lenic, Zoltan Toth and David Unger

2:30-3:00 Multi-Model Ensembling for Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction: From Simple to Complex
Lisa Goddard and Simon Mason

3:00-3:30   BREAK

3:30-4:00 Performance-Based Probabilistic Multi-Model Climate Change Scenarios
Arthur Greene, Lisa Goddard and Upmanu Lall

4:00-4:30 Multi-model Ensembles, Climate Attribution and Predictions
Arun Kumar

4:30-5:00 From DEMETER to EURO-SIP : The European Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project
Richard Graham

5:00-5:30 APCC Multi-model Ensemble Seasonal Prediction System
Bin Wang, Chung-Kyu Park, Won-Tae Yun, and Hyun-Kyung Kim

5:30-7:00 ICE BREAKER RECEPTION & CASH BAR

7:00-10:00 NOAA CTB Science Advisory Board / Oversight Board Executive Session



Tuesday, October 25, 2005

7:15-8:00   POSTER SET-UP

SESSION 3: SEASONAL CLIMATE PREDICTION AND APPLICATIONS (NOAA CLIMATE TEST BED)
    Chair: Huug van den Dool

8:00-8:30 An Evaluation of the Probabilistic Information in the Multi-Model Ensemble Predictions.
David Unger, Peitao Peng, Suranjana Saha and Huug van den Dool

8:30-9:00 Objective weighting of Multi-Method Seasonal Predictions
Huug van den Dool, David Unger, Peitao Peng, Malaquias Pena and Suranjana Saha



9:00-10:30   POSTER SESSION 2: CLIMATE MONITORING AND PREDICTION



10:30-11:00 Consolidation of Predictions of Seasonal Climate by Several Atmospheric General Circulation Models at IRI
Anthony Barnston, Lisa Goddard, Simon Mason, and Andrew Robertson

11:00-11:30 The Assessment of Seasonal Forecast Skills from the Canadian HFP
Qiaobin Teng, Viacheslav Kharin, Francis Zwiers and Xuebin Zhang

11:30-12:00 Experimental Weekly to Seasonal Ensemble Fire Danger Forecasts
J. Roads, P. Tripp, H. Juang, J. Wang, S. Chen and F. Fuioka

12:00-1:00   LUNCH

SESSION 4: REVIEW AND ASSESSMENT OF RECENT CLIMATE ANOMALIES
    Chair: Ake Johansson

1:00-1:30 Major Climate Anomalies During 2005
Gerald Bell

1:30-2:00 Reasons for the Unusually Destructive 2004 Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season
Philip Klotzbach and William Gray

2:00-2:30 The Recent Increase in North Atlantic Hurricane Activity
Muthuvel Chelliah and Gerry Bell

2:30-3:00 U.S. Drought Highlights Since October 2004
Douglas Lecomte

3:00-3:30   BREAK

3:30-4:00 The Recent Evolution of the MJO and Description of an Experimental Global Tropics Hazard Assessment Activity at CPC
Jon Gottschalck, Vern Kousky, Wayne Higgins, Marco Carrera, Klaus Weickman, Ed Berry, Chet Schmitt, Brad Pugh, Wanqui Wang, Wassila Thiaw, Michelle L’Heureux, Qin Zhang, Wei Shi, Eric Blake, Richard Pasch and Huug van den Dool

SESSION 5: INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY
    Chair: Chester Ropelewski

4:00-4:30 Nonlinear Patterns of North American Climate Associated with ENSO
Aiming Wu, William Hsieh and Amir Shabbar

4:30-5:00 Genesis Potential Index and ENSO
Suzana Camargo, Kerry Emanuel and Adam Sobel

5:00-5:30 A Journey to `ENSO' simulation at COLA
V. Misra, L. Marx, Z. Guo, J. Kinter, B. Kirtman, M. Zhao, D. Straus and P. Dirmeyer



Wednesday, October 26, 2005

7:15-8:00   POSTER SET-UP

SESSION 6: DIURNAL AND INTRASEASONAL VARIABILITY
    Chair: Siegfried Schubert

8:00-8:30 An Examination of the Diurnal Cycle in the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS) Model Precipitation Forecasts
Vernon Kousky, John Janowiak and Robert Joyce

8:30-9:00 Simulations of the Madden-Julian Oscillation by Global Weather Prediction and Climate Models
Chidong Zhang, Min Dong, Harry Hendon, Kenneth Sperber, Eric Maloney, Andrew Marshall and Wanqui Wang



9:00-10:30 POSTER SESSION 3: INTRASEASONAL, INTERANNUAL AND DECADAL VARIABILITY



10:30-11:00 Tropical Intraseasonal Variability in 22 Weather and Climate Forecasting Models: Encouraging Results, Common Biases, and Possible Missing Physics
Jialin Lin

11:00-11:30 Variability of the Atlantic ITCZ Associated with Amazon Rainfall and Convectively Coupled Kelvin waves
Hui Wang and Rong Fu

11:30-12:00 Tropical and Stratospheric Influences on Extratropical Variability and Predictability
Matthew Newman and Prashant Sardeshmukh

12:00-1:00   LUNCH

SESSION 7: LONG-TERM CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND CHANGE
    Chair: Muthuvel Chelliah

1:00-1:30 Regional Expression of Multi-Decadal Variability in the Arctic
Uma Bhatt, Igor Polyakov and Roman Bekryaev

1:30-2:00 An Observational Analysis of Decadal Variations in the Madden Julian Oscillation
Charles Jones and Leila Carvalho

2:00-2:30 Variability and Trends in Global Precipitation as Revealed in an Analysis of the GPCP Data
Chester Ropelewski and Phil Arkin

2:30-3:00 Atmospheric Hydrological Cycle in the Tropics in the Twentieth Century Coupled Climate Simulations
Hailan Wang and K.-M. Lau

3:05-3:30   BREAK

SESSION 8: TELECONNECTIONS 
     Chair: George Young

3:30-4:00 The Link Between Tropical Precipitation and the North Atlantic Oscillation
Mathew Sapiano and Phillip Arkin

4:00-4:30 Preferred Modes of Variability and Their Relationship with Climate Change
Seok-Woo Son and Sukyoung Lee

4:30-5:00 A Global Convection Circulation Paradigm for the Annular Mode
Ming Cai and R-C Ren

5:00-5:30 Best Practices vs Misuse of PC Analysis (PCA) in the Analysis of Climate Variability
Robert Livezey

6:00-9:00  WORKSHOP BANQUET
    Banquet Speaker: Charles L. Hosler (tentatively)



Thursday, October 27, 2005

7:15-8:00   POSTER SET-UP

SESSION 9: HYDROLOGIC VARIABILITY
     Chair: Ken Davis

8:00-8:30 An Experimental Real-Time Seasonal Hydrologic Forecast System for the Western US
Andrew Wood and Dennis Lettenmaier

8:30-9:00 Mechanisms for Interannual Variations in Summer Streamflow from Headwater Catchments in Western Mexico
David Gochis and Luis Brillo-Castillo



9:00-10:30 POSTER SESSION 4: HYDROLOGIC VARIABILITY AND MONSOONS



10:30-11:00 Intercomparison of US Land Surface Hydrologic Cycles from Multi-reanalyses and Models
Yun Fan and Huug van den Dool

11:00-11:30 Role of Sub-synoptic Variability of Soil Moisture in Seasonal Precipitation Variations
Song Yang, S. Yoo, R. Yang, K. Mitchell, H. van den Dool and W. Higgins

11:30-12:00 Preliminary results from 50-year 10km resolution downscaling over California.
Masao Kanamitsu and Hideki Kanamaru

12:00-1:00   LUNCH (on own)

SESSION 10: MONSOONS AND WARM SEASON PREDICTION
     Chair: Jenni Evans

1:00-1:30 An Introduction to the Globally Unified Monsoon Index (GUMI)
Xubin Zeng and Er Lu

1:30-2:00 Northern Summer Circumglobal Teleconnection and Tropics-Extratropics Interaction
Bin Wang

2:00-2:30 On the Nature of the Recent SW US Drought
P. Pegion, S. Schubert, M. Suarez and R. Koster

2:30-3:00 Impact of Tropical Easterly Waves on the North American Monsoon
Jennifer Adams and David Stensrud

3:00-3:30   BREAK

3:30-4:00 Warm Season Diurnal Cycle Simulations Over North America - Sensitivities to Model Resolution
Myong-In Lee, Siegfried Schubert, Max Suarez, Julio Bacmeister, Phil Pegion, Isaac Held, Jeff Ploshay, Gabriel Lau, Arun Kumar, Hyun-Kyung Kim and Jae Schemm

4:00-4:30 Warm Season Precipitation Prediction over North America Using the Eta Regional Climate Model
Rongqian Yang and Kenneth Mitchell

4:30-5:00 The Intra-Americas Sea Low-Level Jet: An Analysis of Atmospheric Sounding Observations
Jorge Amador, Erick Rivera, Marcela Ulate and Chidong Zhang

5:00-5:30 A June Monsoon
David Mitchell, Dorothea Ivanova, and David Gochis



Friday, October 28, 2005

SESSION 11: RESULTS FROM NAME 2004
     Chair: Wayne Higgins

8:00-8:30 Radar Observations During NAME 2004 - Data Products and Initial Results
Timothy Lang, David Ahijevich, Rit Carbone, Rob Cifelli, Stephen Nesbitt, Gustavo Pereira and Steven Rutledge

8:30-9:00 Main Results and Future Plans for the NAME Enhanced Rain Gauge Network (NERN)
Christopher Watts, David Gochis, Julio Rodriguez and Jaime Garatuza - Payan

9:00-9:30   BREAK

9:30-10:00 A 50 Year Analysis of Rain Bearing Synoptic Features in Northern Mexico: Placing the NAME 2004 Summer Experiments in an Historical Context
Arthur Douglas and Phillp Englehart

10:00-10:30 NAME CPT Project - Issues for Warm Season Prediction
Jae Schemm and David Gutzler

10:30-11:00 The Impact of the NAME 2004 Special Soundings on the NCEP Analyses and Forecasts
Kingtse Mo, Eric Rogers, Wesley Ebisuzaki and Wayne Higgins

11:00-11:30 Model Simulation of the Diurnal Cycle and Moisture Surges Along the Gulf of California During NAME
Emily Becker and E. Hugo Berbery

11:30-12:00 Assessment and Verification of North American Monsoon Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts from the Weather Research and Forecasting Model using 2004 NAME EOP Data
David Gochis

12:00    CDPW WORKSHOP ENDS

12:00-5:00  Interim NAME (SWG 7.5)Meeting

POSTER PRESENTATIONS


Monday October 24,2005

9:15-10:30 POSTER SESSION 1: CLIMATE MODEL ASSESSMENTS AND MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLES
     Chair: Kingtse Mo

P1.1 Climate Model Diagnoses from a Weather Modeler’s Point of View
Hualu Pan and Suranjana Saha

P1.2 Impact of a New Land Surface Model on the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS)
Helin Wei, Sarah Lu, Kenneth Mitchell and Jesse Meng

P1.3 Identification of El Nino’s Dynamical Regime in the Climate Forecast System
Cecile Penland and Suranjana Saha

P1.4 Comparison of the NCEP CFS Model Simulated Indian Summer Monsoon - ENSO Relationship and Local Air-Sea Relationship With Observations
Renguang Wu and Ben Kirtman

P1.5 Simulation and Predictability of Tropical Intraseasonal Variability in the CFS
K. Pegion, D. Straus, B. Kirtman and J. Shukla

P1.6 Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of CFS Simulations in the Tropics
Wilbur Chen

P1.7 Indian Ocean SST Variability, Predictability and Prediction in the NCEP Climate Forecast System
Qin Zhang and Arun Kumar

P1.8 Mean State and Predictive Skill of the NCEP Coupled Forecast System in the Tropical Atlantic Ocean
Hohua Huang and Zeng-Zhen Hu

P1.9 ENSO-Related Salinity Variability in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean from Simulations of a Coupled Model (CFS03)
Sudhir Nadiga, Wanqui Wang, Jiande Wang and David Behringer

P1.10 Relationship Between Forecast Skill and Ensemble Size in the NCEP CFS
Wanqui Wang, and Arun Kumar

P1.11 Effect of Ensemble Size on Forecasts of Seasonal Extremes
Lisa Goddard and Simon Mason

P1.12 Ensemble Weighting: Can we do better than the ensemble mean of the CFS?
Wesley Ebisuzaki

P1.13 The Effect of SST Forcing on Seasonal Prediction by Nonlinear Multimodel Ensemble
Suhee Park, Sung-Dae Kang and Won-Tae Kwon

P1.14 Assessing Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Skill and Predictability from a Hierarchy of Atmospheric and Coupled GCM Ensemble Forecasts
W. Stern, R. Gudgel and A. Rosati

P1.15 The Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation in the NCEP GFS and CFS Simulation Runs
Kyong-Hwan Seo, Jae Schemm, Wanqui Wang and Arun Kumar

P1.16 Prediction of Global SST Using a Markov Model
Yan Xue

P1.17 Preliminary Comparison of Climate Predictions with Fully Coupled and Anomaly Coupled Versions of the COLA 3.0 MOM3 Coupled GCM
M. Fennessy, J. Kinter, B. Kirtman, L. Marx, V. Misra, D. Paolina, D. Straus

P1.18 Real-time Monitoring and Verification of the MJO in the NCEP GFS and CFS Forecasts
Kyong-Hwan Seo, Jae Schemm, and Wanqui Wang

P1.19 The Continuum and Dynamics of Northern Hemisphere Teleconnection Patterns
Christian Franzke and Steven Feldstein

P1.20 Indian Summer Monsoon Prediction in the NCEP Climate Forecast System
Catherine Thiaw, Suranjana Saha, Diane Stokes and Steve Lord

P1.21 Anomaly Initialization in the CFS Prediction System
Eric Altshuler and Ben Kirtman

P1.22 SST forecast using the APCN multi-model ensemble climate prediction system
June-Yi Lee, Bin Wang, In-Sik Kang, Chung-Kyu Park, and Lorenz Magaard

Tuesday October 25, 2005

9:00-10:30 POSTER SESSION 2: CLIMATE MONITORING AND PREDICTION
     Chair: Wayne Higgins

P2.1 The 2005 Atlantic and East Pacific Hurricane Season
Gerald Bell and Muthuvel Chelliah

P2.2 Storm Track Monitoring and Research at the Climate Prediction Center
Jon Gottschalck, Wayne Higgins and Tim Eichler

P2.3 The abnormally Wet Winter (2004-2005) in Southern California: The Role of Atmospheric Blocking
Marco Carrera

P2.4 Activity of the Major Climate Modes in the Past Year (Oct. 2004-Sep. 2005)
Peitao Peng

P2.5 Overview of the 2005 Monsoons
Wayne Higgins, Wei Shi, Viviane Silva, Wassila Thiaw, Pingping Xie and Muthuvel Chelliah

P2.6 Dust Observations in El Paso Del Norte During the 2005 North American Monsoon Season
Karina Apodaca and Vernon Morris

P2.7 U.S. Real Time Drought Monitoring Based on NCEP Regional Reanalysis
Muthuvel Chelliah and Kingtse Mo

P2.8 An Experimental Daily Surface Water Monitor for the Continental US
Andrew Wood, Ali Akanda and Dennis Lettenmaier

P2.9 A Web Site for NCEP’s Operational Global Ocean Data Assimilation System
Yan Xue and Boyin Huang

P2.10 Predictability of the NCEP Coupled Forecast System
Kyung Jin, James Kinter and Jagadish Shukla

P2.11 A Suitable Bias Correction for CFS Forecasts
Peitao Peng, Arun Kumar, Wanqui Wang, Qin Zhang and Bhaskar Jha

P2.12 Mean Bias Correction on NCEP Regional Spectral Model for Seasonal Climate Simulations
Hann-Ming Juang and Jun Wang

P2.13 Regional Climate Prediction by NCEP Regional Spectral Model
Jun wang and Hann-Ming Juang

P2.14 The Fidelity of NCEP-CFS Seasonal Hindcasts over Nordeste
V. Misra and Yuning Zhang

P2.15 Prediction Skill of NAO and PNA From Daily to Seasonal Time Scales
Ake Johansson

P2.16 The New ECPC GSM/MIT Coupled Experimental Seasonal Prediction Model
Elena Yulaeva, Masao Kanamitsu and John Roads

P2.17 The Impact of Cloud Water Schemes on Seasonal Prediction
Akhihiko Shimpo and Masao Kanamitsu

P2.18 Feasibility Study of the Downscaling of Global Seasonal Forecasts over the Western US
Masao Kanamitsu and Laurel Dehaan

P2.19 Regional Downscaling over Southeast Asia by using RegCM3
Jian-Hua Qian

P2.20 Predictability of Ensemble Weather Forecasts with a Newly Derived Similarity Index
Tomohito Yamada, Shinjiro Kanae, Taikan Oki and Randal Koster

P2.21 Effect of Noise on Predictions Based on Empirical Models Derived from Coupled Simulations
Rameshan Kallummal and Ben Kirtman

P2.22 National Weather Service Eastern Region Climate Outreach Toolkit
Patricia Wnek

P2.23 Science and Technology Infusion Climate Bulletin
Jiayu Zhou

P2.24 Web-Based Climate Product Portals from NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center and Regional Climate Centers
Timothy Owen

P2.25 An Investigation of the Spring Predictability Barrier
Yehui Chang, Siegfried Schubert, Max Suarez, Michele Rienecker, Augustine Vintzileos, and Nicole Kurkowski

P2.26 The Recent Evolution of the ENSO Cycle
Vernon Kousky

Wednesday October 26, 2005

9:10-10:30 POSTER SESSION 3: INTRASEASONAL, INTERANNUAL AND DECADAL VARIABILITY
     Chair: Pingping Xie

P3.1 Distinct Precursors for El Nino and La Nina Onsets
Wilbur Chen

P3.2 Spatial-temporal Features of Multi-scale Vorticity Disturbances over the Tropical North Pacific and its Roles in the Turnabout of 1997-98 El-Nino.
Zuqiang Zhang, Renhe Zhang and Song Yang

P3.3 The Climatology and Interannual Variability of North American Anticyclones
Timothy Eichler and Wayne Higgins

P3.4 Analysis of Atmospheric Signal and Noise to Tropical SSTs in Eight AGCMs
Bhaskar Jha and Arun Kumar

P3.5 The CFS126: a dynamical system for subseasonal forecasts -- challenges in predicting the MJO.
Augustin Vintzileos and Hualu Pan

P3.6 The Annual Cycle of Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere System Anomalies Over Tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans
Natalia Vjazilova

P3.7 East Eurasian Snow Cover Triggering the Northern Annular Mode
Eun-Jeong Cha and M. Kimoto

P3.8 Simulated Global Snow from the CPC Leaky Bucket Soil and Snow Model
Yun Fan and Huug van den Dool

P3.9 Role of Arctic Summer Sea Ice Extremes on Atmospheric Circulation
Uma Bhatt and Michael Alexander

P3.10 Evidence of Changes in the Atmospheric Tropical Circulation and Implications for Antarctic Ozone Trend
Leila Carvalho and Charles Jones

P3.11 The Signal of Pacific Pan-Decadal Variability in Surface Temperature and Atmospheric Fields
Junye Chen, Anthony DelGenio and Barbara Carlson

P3.12 Climate Change and Short-Term Forecasting For Alaskan Northern Coasts
Gary Hufford and James Partain

P3.13 Impact of Land Use Change on California’s Climate
Hideki Kanamaru and Masao Kanamitsu

P3.14 Radiosonde Monthly Statistics Dataset: An Extended Version For Upper-Air Climate Research
Alexander Sterin and Arsenii Timofeev

P3.15 Using CMORPH to Disaggregate Daily Rain Gauge Analyses to Hourly Analyses
John Janowiak and Bob Joyce

P3.16 Improved CPC Gridded Historical Daily Precipitation Analyses Over Brazil
Viviane Silva, Vernon Kousky, Wei Shi and Wayne Higgins

P3.17 Cool-Season Regime Transition and Its Impact on Precipitation in the Northeast
Heather Archambault, Lance Bosart and Daniel Keyser

P3.18 Relative cooling of the N. Indian Ocean: Its relation to aerosols and Indian/sub-Saharan Africa rainfall trends
Chul Chung and V. Ramanathan

P3.19 Global Precipitation Variations and Long-term Changes Derived from the GPCP Monthly Product
Robert F. Adler, Guojun Gu, George Huffman, and Scott Curtis

P3.20 Inter-Basin Interactions and Biennial Climate Variability in the Indo-Pacific Region
Jin-Yi Yu

P3.21 Observed Relationships between the El Nino/ Southern Oscillation and the Extratropical Zonal-Mean Circulation.
Michelle L'Heureux and David W.J. Thompson

Thursday October 27, 2005

9:00-10:30 POSTER SESSION 4: HYDROLOGIC VARIABILITY AND MONSOONS
     Chair: Song Yang

P4.1 Relationships Between Indo-Pacific SSTs and Asian-Australian Monsoon in the NCEP Models
Soo-Hyun Yoo, Song Yang and Chang-Hoi Ho

P4.2 Coordination of NAME Modeling and Field Activities
Wayne Higgins and the NAME SWG

P4.3 NAMAP2: A Multi-Model Assessment of North American Monsoon Simulations
David Gutzler and NAMAP2 Collaborators

P4.4 NAME Upper-Air Gridded Datasets: Description and Some Preliminary Results
Paul Ciesielski, Richard Johnson, Peter Rogers and Richard Taft

P4.5 An Observational Analysis of Two Gulf Surge Events During the 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment
Peter Rogers, Richard Johnson, Paul Ciesielski and Brian McNoldy

P4.6 The Diurnal Cycle of the Windfield Over Northwestern Mexico Based on the NAME Pilot Balloon Sounding Network Observations
Michael Douglas, Javier Murillo, John Mejia, Raquel Orozco and Jose Galvez

P4.7 Seasonal Evolution of the Sea-Land Breeze Circulation Along the Gulf of California and Possible Relations to Vegetation Green-Up
Michael Douglas, Chris Watts, Jose Galvez, John Meija, Javier Murillo and Raquel Orozco

P4.8 Role of Easterly Waves and the MJO in Gulf of California Moisture Surges
Man Li Wu, Siegfried Schubert and Myong-In Lee

P4.9 The Intra-Americas Sea Low-Level Jet
Jorge Amador and Kingtse Mo

P4.10 Characteristics of Daily Precipitation From the NAME Precipitation Assessment Project
Wei Shi, Wayne Higgins, Viviane Silva and John Janowiak

P4.11 Evaluating the Hydro-Estimator Satellite Rainfall Algorithm over a Mountainous Region
Ismail Yucel, Robert Kuligowski and David Gochis

P4.12 In-Phase and Out-of-Phase Relations Between Seasonal Precipitation and Precipitable Water: A Theoretical and Data Analysis
Er Lu and Xubin Zeng

P4.13 Shift of Summer Precipitation Variability in the Southeast United States
Hui Wang and Rong Fu

P4.14 Covariabilities Between Warm-Season Rainfall and Pre-Season Soil Moisture in the US: A Climate Modeling Study
Wanru Wu and Robert Dickinson

P4.15 The Role of Antecedent Land Surface Conditions in Warm Season Monsoon Precipitation over Northwestern Mexico 1950-2003
Chunmei Zhu, Dennis Lettenmaier and Tereza Cavazos

P4.16 A Soil Moisture Initialization Scheme and its Impact on Quasi-Real Hindcasts of Summer Season Precipitation Anomalies over the USA
Sergey Malyshev and C.T. Gordon

P4.17 The impact of prescribed, model-diagnosed soil moisture on the interannual variability of AGCM-simulated precipitation over the USA
C.T. Gordon and Sergey Malyshev

P4.18 Soil Moisture Impacts on Potential and Actual Predictability
Laurel DeHaan, Masao Kanamitsu, Sarah Lu and John Roads

P4.19 Operational Streamflow Forecasts Development Using GCM Predicted Precipitation Fields
A. Sankarasubramanian and Upmanu Lall

P4.20 Experimental Statistical Climate Forecasts for the Interior Southwestern U.S.: Methodology and Skill
Klaus Wolter

P4.21 Climate and Management of the Colorado River
Andrea Ray, Doug Kenney, and Roger Pulwarty

P4.22 Climate Needs of Agricultural Researchers
Paul Knight

P4.23 A Coupled Mode over the NH Extra-Tropical Ocean and the Linkage to Potential Predictability of Climate over North America During Boreal Summer
Hailan Wang and William Lau

P4.24 Interseasonal Survey of Long-lived Positive Potential Vorticity Anomalies Generated from Monsoon Convection
Stephen Saleeby and William Cotton

P4.25 Impact of Sea Surface Temperature and Soil Moisture on Seasonal Rainfall Prediction over the Sahel
Wassila Thiaw and Kingtse Mo


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