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Climate Diagnostics Bulletin
Climate Diagnostics Bulletin - Home Climate Diagnostics Bulletin - Tropics Climate Diagnostics Bulletin - Forecast

 

  Extratropical Highlights

  Table of Indices  (Table 3)

  Global Surface Temperature  E1

  Temperature Anomalies (Land Only)  E2

  Global Precipitation  E3

  Regional Precip Estimates (a)  E4

  Regional Precip Estimates (b)  E5

  U.S. Precipitation  E6

  Northern Hemisphere

  Southern Hemisphere

  Stratosphere

  Appendix 2: Additional Figures

Extratropical Highlights

JUNE 2018

1

Extratropical Highlights –June 2018

 

1. Northern Hemisphere

The 500-hPa circulation during June featured above-average heights across the southwestern and central United States, central Canada, the eastern North Atlantic Ocean, and Europe, and below-average heights extending from eastern Canada across Greenland to central Russia (Fig. E9). Over the Atlantic basin, the circulation reflected a strong positive phase (+1.4 std. dev.) of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) (Fig. E7, Table E1). A positive NAO pattern has generally prevailed since January 2018.

The main land-surface temperature signals during June included well above-average temperatures across most of the United States, central Canada, Europe, and central Siberia, and below-average temperatures in northeastern Canada (Fig. E1). The main precipitation signals included above-average totals in the north-central U.S. and southeastern Europe, and below-average totals in the south-central U.S. and northern Europe (Fig. E3).

 

a. North America

The 500-hPa circulation during June featured above-average heights across the southwestern and central U.S., and central Canada (Fig. E9). This pattern was associated with an amplified ridge over central North America, and with an anomalous low-level flow of warm, moist air extending northward from the Gulf of Mexico to the north-central U.S. (Fig. T20). These conditions contributed to a continuation of well above-average surface temperatures across the U.S. and central Canada, with most locations recording departures in the upper 90th percentile of occurrences (Fig. E1).

The above conditions also contributed to above-average precipitation in the north-central U.S., with many areas recording departures in the upper 70th percentile of occurrences (Fig. E3). Farther south, anomalous sinking motion and upper-level convergence (Fig. T23) resulted in below-average precipitation across the south-central U.S. (Fig. E3) in the region downstream of the mean ridge axis.  The ongoing combination of anomalously warm and dry conditions in the southwestern and south-central U.S. has led to a continuation of extreme or exceptional drought from Arizona and Utah to northern Texas and central Kanas.

 

b. North Atlantic/ Europe

The 500-hPa height pattern featured above-average heights across the eastern North Atlantic Ocean and Europe, and below-average heights over the northwestern North Atlantic and Greenland (Fig. E9). This pattern reflected a continued strong positive phase (+1.4 std. dev.) of the NAO (Fig. E7, Table E1). This pattern contributed to exceptionally warm surface temperatures across Europe (Fig. E1), with many areas recording departures in the upper 90th percentile of occurrences. It also contributed a north-south dipole pattern of precipitation in Europe, with above-average totals in southeastern Europe and below-average totals across northern Europe (Fig. E3).

 

2. Southern Hemisphere

The mean 500-hPa circulation during June featured above-average heights in the area south of New Zealand, over the eastern South Pacific, and over much of Antarctica, and below-average heights over the high latitudes of the central South Pacific and the central South Atlantic Ocean (Fig. E15). In eastern Australia, precipitation was below average during June (Fig. E3), with totals generally in the lowest 30th percentile of occurrences.


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