Extratropical Highlights
SEPTEMBER 2009
Forecast Forum
1. Northern Hemisphere
The 500-hPa height
field during September 2009 featured above-average heights over
Canada
, the eastern
North Atlantic
, and northern
Europe
, and below-average heights over the
Gulf of Alaska
,
Greenland
, and portions of northern
Africa
and the
Middle East
(Fig. E9).
The main temperature signals included well above average temperatures across
Canada
, the northwestern
United States
,
Europe
, western
Russia
, and
China
(Fig. E1).
The main precipitation signals included above-average totals across the
southeastern quadrant of the
U.S.
and portions of southern
Europe
, and below-average totals across eastern
Canada
, central
China
, and portions of both
Europe
and western
Russia
(Fig. E3).
a. North Pacific/
North America
The s500-hPa
circulation during September featured a deep trough over the
Gulf of Alaska
, a broad trough over the eastern
U.S.
, and a strong ridge over central
Canada
(Fig. E9).
The mean ridge was associated with well above average temperatures across
western and central
Canada
, with many areas recording values in the upper 90th percentile of
occurrences (Fig. E1).
It was also associated with below average precipitation across eastern
Canada
and the northeastern tier of the
United States
, with totals in many regions falling below the 10th percentile of
occurrences (Fig. E3).
In contrast, a broad trough over the eastern
U.S.
contributed to increased storminess and above average precipitation across the
southeastern quadrant of the country.
c.
Eurasia
The 500-hPa
circulation during September featured a split-flow pattern over the eastern
North Atlantic
, in association with positive height anomalies across northern
Europe
and a broad trough across southern
Europe
(Fig. E9).
This pattern was associated with warmer and drier than average conditions across
much of
Europe
and western
Russia
, and with large areas of above average precipitation across the
Mediterranean Sea
, and portions of southern
Europe
.
In
Asia
, the strength of the mean upper-level ridge was below average west of the
Tibetan Plateau and above average across
China
(Fig. T22).
This pattern contributed to warmer and drier than average conditions in large
arts of
China
. Much of southern
China
recorded temperature departures in the upper 90th percentile of
occurrences, while rainfall totals across central
China
were generally in the lowest 30th percentile of occurrences.
2. Southern Hemisphere
The 200-hPa circulation during September
reflected anticyclonic streamfunction anomalies over northern
Australia
and cyclonic streamfunction anomalies across the central and eastern
subtropical Pacific (Fig. T22).
At 500-hPa, the circulation reflected an anomalous zonal wave-3 pattern, with
above average heights over the central portions of the three ocean basins, and
below average heights pole-ward of Australia and South Africa and over the high
latitudes of the eastern South Pacific (Fig.
E9).
The main temperature anomalies during
September reflected cooler (Fig. E1)
and wetter than average conditions over central
South America
and southwestern
Australia
, and drier than average conditions in eastern
South Africa
and eastern
Australia
(Fig. E3).
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