Probabilistic Drought Forecast
The Probabilistic drought forecast is based on the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME), which is an experimental multi-model
seasonal forecasting system consisting of coupled models from US modeling
centers including NOAA/NCEP, NOAA/GFDL, IRI, NCAR, NASA, and Canada's CMC.
The hindcast and real-time prediction NMME data
is readily available and in graphical format from CPC . The NMME
forecast are currently being used as guidance for operational
forecasters. The probabilistic SPIx forecasts is performed in real time operationally and results presented at the drought briefing.
Objective Monthly Outlook
Objective Seasonal Outlook