Skip Navigation Links www.nws.noaa.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA home page National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS home page
Climate Prediction Center

Outlooks
   Drought Discussion
   Archive
   U.S. Monthly Temp.
      & Prec.

   U.S. Seasonal Temp.
     & Prec.

   Verification

Monitoring and Data
   GIS Data
   U.S. Weekly Drought       Monitor
   Drought
   Soil Moisture

About Us
   Our Mission
   Who We Are

Contact Us
   CPC Information
   CPC Web Team

 
HOME > Expert Assessments > Drought Information > Seasonal Drought Outlook
 
 
 
 
 
United States Seasonal Drought Outlook Graphic - click on image to enlarge
(Click on image to enlarge)
 
PDF Version of Seasonal Drought Outlook Graphic Adobe PDF Reader
 

Latest Seasonal Assessment - Since mid-June 2020, changes in drought severity were highly variable, with areas of improvement intertwined with areas of intensification. But overall, there was more deterioration than improvement. A few areas of rapid intensification (2 or more categories) were noted in New England (primarily Maine), much of the Plains, and part of the upper Midwest. Steep short-term rainfall deficits and persistently above-normal temperatures sparked drought in these areas, where no dryness was evident four weeks earlier.



But despite the rapid development in those areas, the most intense drought in the country (D3, extreme drought) covered about the same areas as in mid-June -- the southern half of Colorado, adjacent areas in northern New Mexico and southwestern Kansas, several patches in the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles, parts of eastern New Mexico and adjacent western Texas, and farther west in sections of Oregon and northern California.



Over the course of the next few months (through October 2020), the pattern of drought intensity changes should effectively split the contiguous states into two areas. Improvement is anticipated in drought areas from the Northeast and Appalachians westward across the northern Ohio Valley, upper Midwest, and northern Plains. To the south and west of this swath -- across the rest of the contiguous United States -- existing drought should persist or intensify. In addition, drought is forecast to expand into much of central and southwestern Texas, plus a few isolated areas in northwestern Texas, northeastern Colorado, and along the northern reaches of the New Mexico/Arizona border. Thus, broad areas of severe to extreme drought (D2 to D3) should continue affecting large areas from the Plains westward through California and the Northwest.



Drought in the central High Plains may push eastward into central Kansas early in the period, but any development is not expected to last through October 2020, so no development is depicted on the map.



Drought in Hawaii is expected to persist or worsen, expanding into central and southern sections of the Big Island, much of Lanai, and part of south-central Mauai by the end of the period. In contrast, increasing rainfall across Puerto Rico over the next few months should bring drought improvement (D2) and removal (D1) commonwealth-wide. 



Forecaster: Rich Tinker



Next Seasonal Outlook issued: August 20, 2020 at 8:30 AM EDT





Seasonal Drought Outlook Discussion

 


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Climate Prediction Center
National Center for Weather and Climate Prediction
5830 University Research Court
College Park, Maryland 20740
Page Author: Climate Prediction Center Internet Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities