Latest Seasonal Assessment -
A favorable time of year for soil moisture recharge throughout the outlook period support drought improvement and removal along and east of the Mississippi River. Improvement and removal are also expected across much of the Four Corners region by the end of February 2020, based largely on above normal precipitation likely during the remainder of November, climatology, and a favorable time of year for soil moisture recharge. Drought persistence is more likely across the central and southern Great Plains due to a drier climatology, while the seasonal precipitaiton outlook supports development in parts of Texas. Another area for drought development exists across central California based on below normal precipitation since the beginning of October and enhanced odds that below normal precipitation persists from December 2019 through February 2020. A wet climatology favors drought improvement or removal across Alaska and Hawaii.
Forecaster: Yun Fan
Next Seasonal Outlook issued: December 19, 2019 at 8:30 AM EST
Seasonal Drought Outlook Discussion