Skip Navigation Links www.nws.noaa.gov 
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA home page National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS home page
Climate Prediction Center

 
  HOME > Climate & Weather Linkage > Teleconnections > Arctic Oscillation
 
Arctic Oscillation Banner

  • Current Conditions
  • Outlooks
  • Expert Discussions
  • Composites
  • Linkage to Weather
  • Educational Materials
  • Publications

  •  
  • Current Conditions

  • The daily AO index is constructed by projecting the daily (00Z) 1000mb height anomalies poleward of 20°N onto the loading pattern of the AO.  Please note that year-round monthly mean anomaly data has been used to obtain the loading pattern of the AO (Methodology).  Since the AO has the largest variability during the cold sesaon, the loading pattern primarily captures characteristics of the cold season AO pattern.

    The daily AO index and its forecasts using MRF and Ensemble mean forecast data are shown for the previous 120 days as indicated and they are normalized by standard deviation of the monthly AO index from 1979 to 2000. A 3-day running mean is applied for the forecast indices.
     
    • Observations
    Observed Daily Arctic Oscillation Index.
     

    [Back to the Top]

     
    • Monthly mean AO index since January 1950
    • Animations (circulations)
    • Time-Longitude Sections (circulations)

    [Back to the Top]

     
  • Outlooks

  • [Back to the Top]

     
  • Expert Discussions


  • [Back to the Top]

     
  • Composites

  • [Back to the Top]

     
  • Linkage to Weather

  • [Back to the Top]

     
  • Educational Materials

  • [Back to the Top]

     
  • Publications

  • Higgins, R. W., A. Leetmaa, and V. E. Kousky, 2002: Relationships between climate variability and winter temperature extremes in the United States. J. Climate, 15, 1555-1572.

    Higgins, R.W., Y. Zhou and H.-K. Kim, 2001: Relationships between El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Arctic Oscillation: A Climate-Weather Link. NCEP/Climate Prediction Center ATLAS 8. ( Link to Atlas )

    Higgins, R. W., A. Leetmaa, Y. Xue, and A. Barnston, 2000: Dominant factors influencing the seasonal predictability of U.S. precipitation and surface air temperature. J. Climate, 13, 3994-4017.

    Larson, J., Y. Zhou and R. W. Higgins, 2004: Characteristics of landfalling tropical cyclones in the United States and Mexico: Climatology and Interannual Variability J. Climate (submitted)

    Zhou, S., A. J. Miller, J. Wang, and J. K. Angell, 2001: Trends of NAO and AO and their associations with stratospheric processes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 4107-4110.

    [Back to the Top]


    NOAA/ National Weather Service
    National Centers for Environmental Prediction
    Climate Prediction Center
    5830 University Research Court
    College Park, Maryland 20740
    Page Author: Climate Prediction Center Internet Team
    Page last modified: December 12, 2005
    Disclaimer
    Information Quality
    Credits
    Glossary
    Privacy Policy
    Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
    About Us
    Career Opportunities